Sport Picks
FC Rodange 91 vs Kaerjeng
Luxembourg
BGL Ligue 2025/2026 Stade Joseph Philippart, Rodange 
Match Events
26'
26'
Dieye A.
31'
31'
Grbic J.
38'
38'
Maison B.
Assist: Ewert T.
AI Match Summary
Kaerjeng in this BGL Ligue 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kaerjeng.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
15%
54%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kaerjeng
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Kaerjeng lately — more wins on the board than FC Rodange 91.
- Kaerjeng are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular BGL Ligue 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Kaerjeng have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
FC Rodange 91 Clean Sheet 10%
Kaerjeng Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Rodange 91 | Kaerjeng |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 18 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 15 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 2.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.77 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 BGL Ligue
FC Rodange 91 vs Kaerjeng
0:3
Dec 3, 2025 BGL Ligue
Kaerjeng vs FC Rodange 91
3:1
Apr 4, 2018 Luxembourg Cup
Kaerjeng vs FC Rodange 91
1:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Rodange 91 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.89
Kaerjeng Compare
Top Goalscorer Dieye A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Maison B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Rodange 91 10 / 100
Kaerjeng 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Rodange 91 Kaerjeng
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kaerjeng Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.33 goals as a typical output.
FC Rodange 91 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).
Kaerjeng let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.
FC Rodange 91 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
FC Rodange 91 VS Kaerjeng
1.67 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
83% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Rodange 91
(Home) 20 Sept
Jeunesse Schieren
0 : 1 FC Rodange 91
26 Jul
FC Rodange 91
4 : 0 FC Mamer
23 May
Racing Luxembourg
6 : 1 FC Rodange 91
17 May
FC Rodange 91
1 : 1 FC Mamer
13 May
Differdange
2 : 1 FC Rodange 91
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
FC Rodange 91
4 : 0 FC Mamer
17 May
FC Rodange 91
1 : 1 FC Mamer
03 May
FC Rodange 91
0 : 3 Kaerjeng
19 Apr
FC Rodange 91
2 : 1 UNA Strassen
12 Apr
FC Rodange 91
0 : 1 Union Titus Petange
Page 1 of 3
Kaerjeng
(Away) 20 Sept
Syra Mensdorf
1 : 9 Kaerjeng
16 Sept
Dudelange
2 : 4 Kaerjeng
11 Sept
Kaerjeng
5 : 0 Victoria Rosport
06 Sept
Differdange
4 : 1 Kaerjeng
30 Aug
Kaerjeng
6 : 0 Hesperange
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20 Sept
Syra Mensdorf
1 : 9 Kaerjeng
16 Sept
Dudelange
2 : 4 Kaerjeng
06 Sept
Differdange
4 : 1 Kaerjeng
23 Aug
Ettelbruck
0 : 1 Kaerjeng
02 Aug
Racing Luxembourg
5 : 1 Kaerjeng
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bissen | 30 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 70:27 | 65 |
| 2 | Differdange | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 63:22 | 65 |
| 3 | Mondorf | 30 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 51:24 | 60 |
| 4 | UNA Strassen | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 57:26 | 58 |
| 5 | Dudelange | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 59:38 | 58 |
| 6 | Jeunesse Esch | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 35:34 | 40 |
| 7 | Racing Luxembourg | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 48:50 | 40 |
| 8 | Kaerjeng | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 43:48 | 38 |
| 9 | Hostert | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 35:56 | 36 |
| 10 | Victoria Rosport | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 33:50 | 35 |
| 11 | Progres Niedercorn | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 44:47 | 34 |
| 12 | Hesperange | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 31:46 | 32 |
| 13 | Jeunesse Canach | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 29:44 | 31 |
| 14 | FC Mamer | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 33:59 | 29 |
| 15 | Union Titus Petange | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 26:49 | 25 |
| 16 | FC Rodange 91 | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 28:65 | 25 |
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - BGL Ligue 2025/2026 (Relegation)
