Sport Picks
FC Rustavi vs Gagra
Georgia
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga David Petriashvili Stadium, Tbilisi 
AI Match Summary
FC Rustavi host Gagra in the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. FC Rustavi have averaged 1.13 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against Gagra's 1.25 scored and 0.88 conceded. Past meetings favor Gagra slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.25) point toward FC Rustavi. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and FC Rustavi come out ahead of Gagra on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Gagra have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Rustavi | Gagra |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Gagra conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.
FC Rustavi scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
FC Rustavi went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
FC Rustavi
(Home)Gagra
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iberia 1999 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27:18 | 34 |
| 2 | FC Rustavi | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 22:18 | 32 |
| 3 | Dinamo Tbilisi | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 31:21 | 31 |
| 4 | Torpedo Kutaisi | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 30:19 | 27 |
| 5 | Dinamo Batumi | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 28:30 | 27 |
| 6 | Dila Gori | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 21:19 | 26 |
| 7 | Samgurali | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 25:32 | 25 |
| 8 | Spaeri | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25:25 | 22 |
| 9 | Gagra | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 18:24 | 22 |
| 10 | Meshakhte Tkibuli | 19 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 13:34 | 11 |
