Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Rustavi vs Guria

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Rustavi in this Liga 3 2023 matchup, with the score ending 7-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Rustavi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
FC Rustavi
20%
Draws
52%
Guria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guria lately — more wins on the board than FC Rustavi.
  • Guria are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors FC Rustavi here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
FC Rustavi Clean Sheet 14%
Guria Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Rustavi Guria
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 18
Draws 7 3
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.29 2.69
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 7, 2023 Liga 3
FC Rustavi vs Guria
7:0
Jun 11, 2023 Liga 3
Guria vs FC Rustavi
2:0
Sep 27, 2017 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Guria vs FC Rustavi
1:3
Jul 22, 2017 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Rustavi vs Guria
3:0
May 5, 2017 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Guria vs FC Rustavi
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Rustavi 10 / 100
Guria 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Rustavi Guria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Rustavi scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: FC Rustavi stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Guria conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

FC Rustavi VS Guria
1.63 Goals Scored 2.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Rustavi

(Home)
09 Sept
Spaeri
1 : 1
FC Rustavi
04 Sept
FC Rustavi
0 : 1
Dinamo Batumi
30 Aug
Samgurali
1 : 1
FC Rustavi
22 Aug
FC Rustavi
3 : 0
Gagra
15 Aug
Dinamo Tbilisi
0 : 3
FC Rustavi
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Guria

(Away)
10 Sept
FC Gardabani
0 : 5
Guria
03 Sept
Guria
2 : 0
Gonio
27 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 5
Guria
21 Aug
Guria
2 : 0
Iberia 1999 2
13 Aug
Merani Tbilisi
0 : 5
Guria
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dusheti 30 21 5 4 66:21 68
2 Shturmi 30 21 5 4 67:27 68
3 FC Rustavi 30 19 4 7 63:31 61
4 FC Tbilisi 2025 30 19 3 8 54:35 60
5 Meshakhte Tkibuli 30 15 10 5 49:24 55
6 Orbi 30 15 5 10 56:41 50
7 Iberia 1999 2 30 12 9 9 45:26 45
8 Gori 30 13 4 13 46:48 43
9 Guria 30 11 6 13 44:55 39
10 Locomotive Tbilisi 2 30 10 5 15 50:42 35
11 Borjomi 30 11 2 17 50:78 35
12 Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 30 9 6 15 47:47 33
13 Zestafoni 30 6 11 13 33:46 29
14 Matchakhela 30 8 2 20 38:81 26
15 FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II 30 4 10 16 30:58 22
16 Chikhura Sachkhere 30 2 1 27 23:101 7
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2024 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2023 (Relegation)