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FC Rustavi vs Matchakhela

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2023
FC Rustavi Logo

FC Rustavi

2 - 0
FT
Matchakhela Logo

Matchakhela

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2023 game between FC Rustavi and Matchakhela finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Rustavi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
FC Rustavi
15%
Draws
7%
Matchakhela
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Rustavi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Matchakhela haven't matched FC Rustavi's recent run of results.
  • FC Rustavi are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
FC Rustavi Clean Sheet 20%
Matchakhela Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Rustavi Matchakhela
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 7 6
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 1.24 1
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 21, 2023 Liga 3
FC Rustavi vs Matchakhela
2:0
Aug 10, 2023 Liga 3
Matchakhela vs FC Rustavi
0:3
Mar 15, 2016 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Matchakhela vs FC Rustavi
2:2
Sep 25, 2015 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Rustavi vs Matchakhela
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Rustavi 85 / 100
Matchakhela 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Rustavi Matchakhela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RUS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Matchakhela conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: FC Rustavi scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: FC Rustavi remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Rustavi VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Rustavi

(Home)
07 Aug
FC Rustavi
1 : 0
Torpedo Kutaisi
01 Aug
FC Rustavi
3 : 1
Spaeri
26 Jul
FC Tbilisi 2025
0 : 1
FC Rustavi
22 Jun
Dila Gori
3 : 0
FC Rustavi
17 Jun
Iberia 1999
1 : 2
FC Rustavi
Page 1 of 6

Matchakhela

(Away)
07 Dec
Matchakhela
1 : 8
Guria
29 Nov
FC Gardabani
6 : 1
Matchakhela
21 Nov
Matchakhela
0 : 10
Gori
14 Nov
Betlemi Keda
5 : 1
Matchakhela
07 Nov
Matchakhela
1 : 1
Iberia 1999 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dusheti 30 21 5 4 66:21 68
2 Shturmi 30 21 5 4 67:27 68
3 FC Rustavi 30 19 4 7 63:31 61
4 FC Tbilisi 2025 30 19 3 8 54:35 60
5 Meshakhte Tkibuli 30 15 10 5 49:24 55
6 Orbi 30 15 5 10 56:41 50
7 Iberia 1999 2 30 12 9 9 45:26 45
8 Gori 30 13 4 13 46:48 43
9 Guria 30 11 6 13 44:55 39
10 Locomotive Tbilisi 2 30 10 5 15 50:42 35
11 Borjomi 30 11 2 17 50:78 35
12 Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 30 9 6 15 47:47 33
13 Zestafoni 30 6 11 13 33:46 29
14 Matchakhela 30 8 2 20 38:81 26
15 FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II 30 4 10 16 30:58 22
16 Chikhura Sachkhere 30 2 1 27 23:101 7
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2024 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2023 (Relegation)