Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Rustavi vs Spaeri

Georgia Georgia

Georgian Cup
Sat, Aug 1, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Georgian Cup. Little to choose between these two on current form. Spaeri have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while FC Rustavi have conceded 1.25 and scored 1.13. Past meetings favor FC Rustavi slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 29, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.31, favoring FC Rustavi. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
FC Rustavi
39%
Draws
31%
Spaeri
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Spaeri haven't matched FC Rustavi's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • FC Rustavi have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor FC Rustavi, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
FC Rustavi Clean Sheet 18%
Spaeri Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Rustavi Spaeri
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 7 10
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
FC Rustavi vs Spaeri
2:1
Apr 18, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Spaeri vs FC Rustavi
1:1
Jan 29, 2026 Club Friendly
FC Rustavi vs Spaeri
2:2
Nov 21, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Spaeri vs FC Rustavi
2:1
Sep 19, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Rustavi vs Spaeri
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Rustavi 31 / 100
Spaeri 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Rustavi Spaeri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RUS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Rustavi's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Spaeri let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: FC Rustavi stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Rustavi VS Spaeri
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Rustavi

(Home)
26 Jul
FC Tbilisi 2025
0 : 1
FC Rustavi
22 Jun
Dila Gori
3 : 0
FC Rustavi
17 Jun
Iberia 1999
1 : 2
FC Rustavi
13 Jun
FC Rustavi
1 : 0
Meshakhte Tkibuli
29 May
FC Rustavi
2 : 1
Spaeri
Page 1 of 6

Spaeri

(Away)
25 Jul
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
1 : 5
Spaeri
20 Jul
Spaeri
0 : 1
Samgurali
17 Jul
Spaeri
2 : 3
Urartu
22 Jun
Torpedo Kutaisi
0 : 0
Spaeri
16 Jun
Dila Gori
3 : 1
Spaeri
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Guria6
Merani Tbilisi1
TBD-
Dinamo Tbilisi-
Kolkheti 1913-
TBD-
Zooveti Tbilisi0
Dusheti2
Samtredia-
TBD-
West Georgia0
Shturmi2
Torpedo Kutaisi 20
Margveti 20064
TBD-
Iberia 1999-
Dmanisi0
WIT Georgia3
TBD-
Samgurali-
Dinamo Sokhumi0
Gonio3
TBD-
Meshakhte Tkibuli-
Mertskhali1
Gori3
TBD-
Bolnisi-
FC Gardabani1
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi5
TBD-
Dila Gori-
FC Rustavi 22
Orbi3
TBD-
Dinamo Batumi-
Merani Martvili 21
Iberia 1999 22
TBD-
Telavi-
Iveria Khashuri5
Betlemi Keda4
TBD-
Torpedo Kutaisi-
Merani Martvili-
TBD-
Gagra 21
Odishi 19192
Aragvelebi0
FC Tbilisi 20254
TBD-
FC Rustavi-
Skuri Tsalenjikha3
Dinamo Tbilisi 24
TBD-
Spaeri-
Basa2
Locomotive Tbilisi1
TBD-
FC Gareji Sagarejo-
Samtskhe4
Didube1
TBD-
Gagra-
1/16-finals
Guria1
Dinamo Tbilisi0
Kolkheti 19130
Dusheti1
Samtredia2
Shturmi1
Margveti 20061
Iberia 19993
WIT Georgia2
Samgurali3
Gonio1
Meshakhte Tkibuli2
Gori1
Bolnisi0
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi0
Dila Gori1
Orbi1
Dinamo Batumi4
Iberia 1999 20
Telavi1
Iveria Khashuri1
Torpedo Kutaisi3
Merani Martvili1
Odishi 19192
FC Tbilisi 20250
FC Rustavi1
Dinamo Tbilisi 21
Spaeri5
Basa0
FC Gareji Sagarejo2
Samtskhe1
Gagra2
1/8-finals
Guria-
Dusheti-
Samtredia-
Iberia 1999-
Samgurali-
Meshakhte Tkibuli-
Gori-
Dila Gori-
Dinamo Batumi-
Telavi-
Torpedo Kutaisi-
Odishi 1919-
FC Rustavi-
Spaeri-
FC Gareji Sagarejo-
Gagra-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-