Sport Picks
Match Events
6'
6'
Samkharadze G.
(Penalty)
31'
31'
Askurava T.
31'
31'
Askurava T.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 3-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
30%
16%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Rustavi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Spaeri haven't matched FC Rustavi's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans FC Rustavi's way, sitting at 90%.
- FC Rustavi have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor FC Rustavi, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
FC Rustavi Clean Sheet 68%
Spaeri Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Rustavi | Spaeri |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 16 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 7 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 1.35 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 1.65 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 9, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Spaeri vs FC Rustavi
1:1
Aug 1, 2026 Georgian Cup
FC Rustavi vs Spaeri
3:1
May 29, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
FC Rustavi vs Spaeri
2:1
Apr 18, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Spaeri vs FC Rustavi
1:1
Jan 29, 2026 Club Friendly
FC Rustavi vs Spaeri
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Rustavi Compare
Top Goalscorer Nakano Y.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kessi S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Spaeri Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Rustavi 95 / 100
Spaeri 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Rustavi Spaeri
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FC Rustavi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Rustavi's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Spaeri let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Recent resilience: FC Rustavi stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
FC Rustavi VS Spaeri
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Rustavi
(Home) 26 Sept
Samtredia
1 : 2 FC Rustavi
21 Sept
FC Rustavi
0 : 2 Iberia 1999
14 Sept
Meshakhte Tkibuli
0 : 1 FC Rustavi
09 Sept
Spaeri
1 : 1 FC Rustavi
04 Sept
FC Rustavi
0 : 1 Dinamo Batumi
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
FC Rustavi
0 : 2 Iberia 1999
04 Sept
FC Rustavi
0 : 1 Dinamo Batumi
22 Aug
FC Rustavi
3 : 0 Gagra
07 Aug
FC Rustavi
1 : 0 Torpedo Kutaisi
01 Aug
FC Rustavi
3 : 1 Spaeri
Page 1 of 3
Spaeri
(Away) 21 Sept
Spaeri
1 : 4 Dila Gori
13 Sept
Iberia 1999
1 : 0 Spaeri
09 Sept
Spaeri
1 : 1 FC Rustavi
05 Sept
Meshakhte Tkibuli
2 : 2 Spaeri
30 Aug
Dinamo Batumi
3 : 0 Spaeri
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Iberia 1999
1 : 0 Spaeri
05 Sept
Meshakhte Tkibuli
2 : 2 Spaeri
30 Aug
Dinamo Batumi
3 : 0 Spaeri
17 Aug
Gagra
1 : 1 Spaeri
01 Aug
FC Rustavi
3 : 1 Spaeri
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Basa 2
Locomotive Tbilisi 1
TBD -
FC Gareji Sagarejo -
Samtskhe 4
Didube 1
TBD -
Gagra -
Guria 6
Merani Tbilisi 1
TBD -
Dinamo Tbilisi -
Kolkheti 1913 -
TBD -
Zooveti Tbilisi 0
Dusheti 2
Samtredia -
TBD -
West Georgia 0
Shturmi 2
Torpedo Kutaisi 2 0
Margveti 2006 4
TBD -
Iberia 1999 -
Aragvelebi 0
FC Tbilisi 2025 4
TBD -
FC Rustavi -
Skuri Tsalenjikha 3
Dinamo Tbilisi 2 4
TBD -
Spaeri -
Iveria Khashuri 5
Betlemi Keda 4
TBD -
Torpedo Kutaisi -
Merani Martvili -
TBD -
Gagra 2 1
Odishi 1919 2
FC Rustavi 2 2
Orbi 3
TBD -
Dinamo Batumi -
Merani Martvili 2 1
Iberia 1999 2 2
TBD -
Telavi -
Mertskhali 1
Gori 3
TBD -
Bolnisi -
FC Gardabani 1
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 5
TBD -
Dila Gori -
Dmanisi 0
WIT Georgia 3
TBD -
Samgurali -
Dinamo Sokhumi 0
Gonio 3
TBD -
Meshakhte Tkibuli -
1/16-finals
Basa 0
FC Gareji Sagarejo 2
Samtskhe 1
Gagra 2
Guria 1
Dinamo Tbilisi 0
Kolkheti 1913 0
Dusheti 1
Samtredia 2
Shturmi 1
Margveti 2006 1
Iberia 1999 3
FC Tbilisi 2025 0
FC Rustavi 1
Dinamo Tbilisi 2 1
Spaeri 5
Iveria Khashuri 1
Torpedo Kutaisi 3
Merani Martvili 1
Odishi 1919 2
Orbi 1
Dinamo Batumi 4
Iberia 1999 2 0
Telavi 1
Gori 1
Bolnisi 0
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 0
Dila Gori 1
WIT Georgia 2
Samgurali 3
Gonio 1
Meshakhte Tkibuli 2
1/8-finals
FC Gareji Sagarejo 1
Gagra 4
Guria 1
Dusheti 2
Samtredia 2
Iberia 1999 0
FC Rustavi 3
Spaeri 1
Torpedo Kutaisi 4
Odishi 1919 1
Dinamo Batumi 1
Telavi 0
Gori 0
Dila Gori 2
Samgurali 1
Meshakhte Tkibuli 0
Quarter-finals
Gagra 1
Dusheti 0
Samtredia 1
FC Rustavi 2
Torpedo Kutaisi 2
Dinamo Batumi 4
Dila Gori 2
Samgurali 1
Semi-finals
Gagra -
FC Rustavi -
Dinamo Batumi -
Dila Gori -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
