Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Rustavi vs Spaeri

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga David Petriashvili Stadium, Tbilisi
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Iakobidze I.
29' Event
Jean
37'
Kapanadze M.

AI Match Summary

The Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga game between FC Rustavi and Spaeri finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Rustavi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
FC Rustavi
39%
Draws
31%
Spaeri
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Rustavi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
FC Rustavi Clean Sheet 68%
Spaeri Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Rustavi Spaeri
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 7 11
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
FC Rustavi vs Spaeri
2:1
Apr 18, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Spaeri vs FC Rustavi
1:1
Jan 29, 2026 Club Friendly
FC Rustavi vs Spaeri
2:2
Nov 21, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Spaeri vs FC Rustavi
2:1
Sep 19, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Rustavi vs Spaeri
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Rustavi Compare

Top Goalscorer Jean
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gujabidze A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Spaeri Compare

Top Goalscorer Tsetskhladze G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Rustavi 41 / 100
Spaeri 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Rustavi Spaeri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RUS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Rustavi scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Spaeri has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: FC Rustavi remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Rustavi VS Spaeri
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Rustavi

(Home)
26 Jul
FC Tbilisi 2025
0 : 1
FC Rustavi
22 Jun
Dila Gori
3 : 0
FC Rustavi
17 Jun
Iberia 1999
1 : 2
FC Rustavi
13 Jun
FC Rustavi
1 : 0
Meshakhte Tkibuli
29 May
FC Rustavi
2 : 1
Spaeri
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Spaeri

(Away)
25 Jul
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
1 : 5
Spaeri
20 Jul
Spaeri
0 : 1
Samgurali
17 Jul
Spaeri
2 : 3
Urartu
22 Jun
Torpedo Kutaisi
0 : 0
Spaeri
16 Jun
Dila Gori
3 : 1
Spaeri
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Iberia 199919104527:1834
2FC Rustavi1995522:1832
3Dinamo Tbilisi1987431:2131
4Torpedo Kutaisi1976630:1927
5Dinamo Batumi1976628:3027
6Dila Gori1982921:1926
7Samgurali1974825:3225
8Spaeri1957725:2522
9Gagra1957718:2422
10Meshakhte Tkibuli19181013:3411
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)