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FC Santa Coloma vs Esperanca Prediction & H2H Stats

Andorra Andorra

Primera Divisió 2025/2026 Estadi Comunal, Andorra la Vella
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Alvarez M.
28'
Junca D.
33'
Garrido A.

AI Match Summary

FC Santa Coloma in this Primera Divisió 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Santa Coloma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
FC Santa Coloma
15%
Draws
45%
Esperanca
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Esperanca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • FC Santa Coloma have won more games recently than Esperanca.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • FC Santa Coloma have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
FC Santa Coloma Clean Sheet 10%
Esperanca Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Santa Coloma Esperanca
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 20 6
Draws 2 4
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 2.37 1.08
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Primera Divisió
FC Santa Coloma vs Esperanca
4:0
Jan 18, 2026 Primera Divisió
Esperanca vs FC Santa Coloma
0:2
Nov 2, 2025 Primera Divisió
FC Santa Coloma vs Esperanca
0:0
Mar 2, 2025 Primera Divisió
FC Santa Coloma vs Esperanca
4:0
Jan 19, 2025 Primera Divisió
FC Santa Coloma vs Esperanca
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Santa Coloma Compare

Top Goalscorer Betancor Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Esperanca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Santa Coloma 30 / 100
Esperanca 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Santa Coloma Esperanca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Santa Coloma found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Esperanca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: FC Santa Coloma stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Santa Coloma VS Esperanca
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Santa Coloma

(Home)
20 Sept
Sporting Escaldes
1 : 5
FC Santa Coloma
13 Sept
FC Santa Coloma
4 : 0
Penya
05 Sept
Carroi
0 : 3
FC Santa Coloma
29 Jul
Rapid Vienna
6 : 2
FC Santa Coloma
23 Jul
FC Santa Coloma
1 : 3
Rapid Vienna
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Esperanca

(Away)
20 Sept
Esperanca
4 : 0
Ordino
13 Sept
FC Rangers
2 : 1
Esperanca
06 Sept
Esperanca
2 : 2
Inter Escaldes
27 May
Esperanca
2 : 0
Sporting Escaldes
23 May
Sporting Escaldes
1 : 3
Esperanca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter Escaldes 24 17 3 4 47:24 54
2 UE Santa Coloma 24 14 6 4 42:16 48
3 FC Rangers 24 15 3 6 46:22 48
4 FC Santa Coloma 24 13 5 6 45:20 44
5 Atletic Escaldes 24 10 4 10 31:26 34
6 Penya 24 7 3 14 19:41 24
7 Ordino 24 6 4 14 27:42 22
8 Carroi 24 4 5 15 15:55 17
9 Esperanca 24 3 5 16 18:44 14
10 Pas de la Casa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Primera Divisió 2025/2026 (Relegation)