Sport Picks

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FC Santiago de Cuba vs FC Guantanamo

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional 2024
Sat, Feb 10, 2024
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Santiago de Cuba host FC Guantanamo in the Liga Nacional 2024. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: FC Santiago de Cuba at 0.63 goals for, 1.13 against; FC Guantanamo at 1.75 for, 0.63 against. Past meetings favor FC Guantanamo slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 24, 2025, ending 1:0. xG projections (0.63 - 1.44) back FC Guantanamo to edge this. FC Guantanamo in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
FC Santiago de Cuba
33%
Draws
40%
FC Guantanamo
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: FC Guantanamo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Guantanamo have won more games recently than FC Santiago de Cuba.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on FC Guantanamo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
FC Santiago de Cuba Clean Sheet 16%
FC Guantanamo Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Santiago de Cuba FC Guantanamo
Matches Played 32 35
Wins 14 20
Draws 9 8
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 0.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Guantanamo vs FC Santiago de Cuba
1:0
May 3, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Santiago de Cuba vs FC Guantanamo
0:4
Mar 29, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Guantanamo vs FC Santiago de Cuba
0:0
Mar 8, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Santiago de Cuba vs FC Guantanamo
0:1
Feb 10, 2024 Liga Nacional
FC Santiago de Cuba vs FC Guantanamo
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Santiago de Cuba 28 / 100
FC Guantanamo 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Santiago de Cuba FC Guantanamo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Santiago de Cuba found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

FC Santiago de Cuba went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

FC Guantanamo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 46% of 35 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

FC Santiago de Cuba VS FC Guantanamo
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Cienfuegos11002:03
2Pinar del Rio10101:11
3Artemisa10101:11
4FC Villa Clara10100:01
5Mayabeque Guines10100:01
6Matanzas00000:00
7Isla de La Juventud00000:00
8FC La Habana10010:20
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Guantanamo11001:03
2FC Ciego de Avila10100:01
3FC Holguin10100:01
4FC Santiago de Cuba00000:00
5FC Sancti Spiritus00000:00
6FC Camaguey00000:00
7CF Granma00000:00
8Las Tunas10010:10