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FC Santiago de Cuba vs FC Holguin

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional game between FC Santiago de Cuba and FC Holguin finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
FC Santiago de Cuba
11%
Draws
9%
FC Holguin
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: FC Santiago de Cuba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Santiago de Cuba's 1.13 goals per match outpaces what FC Holguin have produced (1).
  • Win probability leans FC Santiago de Cuba's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
FC Santiago de Cuba Clean Sheet 20%
FC Holguin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Santiago de Cuba FC Holguin
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 13 13
Draws 9 9
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Santiago de Cuba vs FC Holguin
3:1
May 10, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Holguin vs FC Santiago de Cuba
0:0
Apr 20, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Santiago de Cuba vs FC Holguin
1:1
Mar 15, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Holguin vs FC Santiago de Cuba
0:4
May 20, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Holguin vs FC Santiago de Cuba
5:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Santiago de Cuba 76 / 100
FC Holguin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Santiago de Cuba FC Holguin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

FC Santiago de Cuba found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

FC Holguin let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Recent resilience: FC Santiago de Cuba stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Santiago de Cuba VS FC Holguin
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC La Habana1173121:1224
2Artemisa1244418:1916
3Isla de La Juventud1132610:1611
4Pinar del Rio1023511:139
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Cienfuegos1264220:1122
2FC Villa Clara1264216:722
3Matanzas1233610:1312
4Mayabeque Guines1223711:269
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Las Tunas1271420:1322
2FC Ciego de Avila1262416:920
3FC Camaguey1152417:1417
4FC Sancti Spiritus111373:206
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Guantanamo1283125:627
2FC Santiago de Cuba1143412:1115
3FC Holguin1234512:1913
4CF Granma112279:228