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FC Santiago vs Chilangos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie B 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Suro J. O.
Own Goal
77' Event
Luna D.
80' Event
Martinez J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie B 2023/2024 game between FC Santiago and Chilangos finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Santiago.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
FC Santiago
20%
Draws
40%
Chilangos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Santiago come out ahead of Chilangos on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
FC Santiago Clean Sheet 68%
Chilangos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Santiago Chilangos
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 15 11
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.71 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2024 Liga Premier Serie B
FC Santiago vs Chilangos
3:0
Sep 22, 2023 Liga Premier Serie B
Chilangos vs FC Santiago
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Santiago Compare

Top Goalscorer Luna D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Chilangos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Santiago 41 / 100
Chilangos 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Santiago Chilangos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Santiago Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Santiago scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Chilangos conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: FC Santiago remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Santiago VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Santiago

(Home)
04 Oct
FC Santiago
2 : 2
Guerreros de Autlan
25 Sept
Zapotlanejo
1 : 0
FC Santiago
19 Sept
FC Santiago
4 : 1
Saltillo Soccer F.C.
11 Sept
Mineros de Fresnillo
2 : 0
FC Santiago
05 Sept
FC Santiago
3 : 0
Heroes de Zaci
Page 1 of 7

Chilangos

(Away)
19 Apr
Chilangos
3 : 2
Club CDM
13 Apr
Zitacuaro
2 : 0
Chilangos
05 Apr
Chilangos
2 : 0
Deportivo Dongu
28 Mar
Chilangos
0 : 1
Aguacateros CD Uruapan
15 Mar
Chilangos
1 : 1
Canoneros FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Ayense 28 22 2 4 81:33 73
2 Aguacateros CD Uruapan 28 19 2 7 63:24 65
3 Artesanos Metepec 28 19 3 6 47:20 61
4 Club CDM 28 17 3 8 68:27 60
5 FC Santiago 28 18 4 6 43:20 58
6 Chilpancingo 28 17 2 9 50:27 57
7 Pachuca 2 28 17 3 8 52:35 54
8 Poza Rica 28 13 2 13 42:36 44
9 Chilangos 28 11 5 12 40:41 42
10 Caja Oblatos 28 8 5 15 32:59 29
11 Huracanes Izcalli 28 7 5 16 31:45 28
12 Zitacuaro 28 6 7 15 23:50 25
13 Canoneros FC 28 5 2 21 16:49 17
14 Deportivo Dongu 28 4 1 23 29:81 15
15 Ciervos 28 3 2 23 15:85 12
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie B 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie B 2023/2024 (Play Offs)