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FC Sevastopol vs Angust Nazran

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
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AI Match Summary

FC Sevastopol play Angust Nazran in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC Sevastopol averaged 1.75 goals scored and 0.69 conceded. Angust Nazran averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, FC Sevastopol won 3, Angust Nazran won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 27, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for FC Sevastopol and 0.44 for Angust Nazran. This points to a FC Sevastopol double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
FC Sevastopol
30%
Draws
19%
Angust Nazran
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Sevastopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • FC Sevastopol picked up more points recently compared to Angust Nazran.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 0.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%
FC Sevastopol Clean Sheet 31%
Angust Nazran Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 50%
Second Half Goal 52%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Sevastopol Angust Nazran
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 21 8
Draws 9 7
Losses 2 15
Goals Scored 1.75 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FC Sevastopol vs Angust Nazran
1:0
Aug 2, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FC Sevastopol vs Angust Nazran
2:0
May 3, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Angust Nazran vs FC Sevastopol
0:0
Sep 7, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FC Sevastopol vs Angust Nazran
0:0
May 11, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Angust Nazran vs FC Sevastopol
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Sevastopol Compare

Top Goalscorer Osmanov R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Angust Nazran Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Sevastopol 52 / 100
Angust Nazran 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Sevastopol Angust Nazran

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC Sevastopol or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18.8%
2.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +21.4%
3.57
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Sevastopol attacking → ← attacking Angust Nazran

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Sevastopol scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Angust Nazran let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

FC Sevastopol went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Angust Nazran lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

72 Points in last 5 31
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.38
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50