Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Sevastopol vs Astrakhan

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Sevastopol host Astrakhan in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Astrakhan have shipped 1.63 goals a game lately, while FC Sevastopol have conceded 0.88 and scored 1.5. Head-to-head, FC Sevastopol have won 3 to Astrakhan's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 20, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.19, favoring FC Sevastopol. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
FC Sevastopol
39%
Draws
31%
Astrakhan
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Sevastopol come out ahead of Astrakhan on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
FC Sevastopol Clean Sheet 20%
Astrakhan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Sevastopol Astrakhan
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 22 13
Draws 8 4
Losses 2 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Astrakhan vs FC Sevastopol
1:2
Aug 9, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Astrakhan vs FC Sevastopol
1:1
May 10, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FC Sevastopol vs Astrakhan
1:0
Oct 26, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Astrakhan vs FC Sevastopol
5:2
Sep 25, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FC Sevastopol vs Astrakhan
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Sevastopol 31 / 100
Astrakhan 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Sevastopol Astrakhan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SEV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Sevastopol found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Astrakhan conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

FC Sevastopol went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Sevastopol VS Astrakhan
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Sevastopol

(Home)
25 Jul
Maykop
1 : 3
FC Sevastopol
04 Jul
Spartak Nalchik
3 : 2
FC Sevastopol
27 Jun
FC Sevastopol
1 : 0
Angust Nazran
20 Jun
Astrakhan
1 : 2
FC Sevastopol
13 Jun
FC Sevastopol
2 : 1
FK Pobeda
Page 1 of 7

Astrakhan

(Away)
25 Jul
Astrakhan
3 : 0
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 2
04 Jul
Astrakhan
1 : 2
Zarya Lugansk
27 Jun
Rostov 2
2 : 0
Astrakhan
20 Jun
Astrakhan
1 : 2
FC Sevastopol
13 Jun
FC PSK Dinskoy rayon
1 : 4
Astrakhan
Page 1 of 6