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FC Sevastopol vs Astrakhan

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Goryaev D.
21' Event
Zhangurazov R.
23' Event
Osmanov R.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 game between FC Sevastopol and Astrakhan finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Astrakhan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
FC Sevastopol
20%
Draws
20%
Astrakhan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Sevastopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Sevastopol come out ahead of Astrakhan on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans FC Sevastopol's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
FC Sevastopol Clean Sheet 68%
Astrakhan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Sevastopol Astrakhan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 22 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 3 14
Goals Scored 1.93 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FC Sevastopol vs Astrakhan
3:4
Jun 20, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Astrakhan vs FC Sevastopol
1:2
Aug 9, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Astrakhan vs FC Sevastopol
1:1
May 10, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FC Sevastopol vs Astrakhan
1:0
Oct 26, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Astrakhan vs FC Sevastopol
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Sevastopol Compare

Top Goalscorer Osmanov R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stepanovich A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Astrakhan Compare

Top Goalscorer Goryaev D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zhangurazov R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Sevastopol 95 / 100
Astrakhan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Sevastopol Astrakhan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Sevastopol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Sevastopol found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: FC Sevastopol remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Astrakhan let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Sevastopol VS Astrakhan
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Sevastopol

(Home)
26 Sept
Rostov 2
0 : 1
FC Sevastopol
22 Sept
FC Sevastopol
3 : 1
Rubin Yalta
05 Sept
FC Sevastopol
2 : 1
Kyzyltash
29 Aug
FC Sevastopol
1 : 0
Spartak Nalchik
22 Aug
Angust Nazran
0 : 1
FC Sevastopol
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Astrakhan

(Away)
26 Sept
Angust Nazran
0 : 1
Astrakhan
19 Sept
Izberbash
0 : 0
Astrakhan
12 Sept
FK Pobeda
2 : 1
Astrakhan
05 Sept
Astrakhan
1 : 1
Dynamo Makhachkala 2
29 Aug
Zarya Lugansk
4 : 0
Astrakhan
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