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FC Sevastopol vs Rubin Yalta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Dzanelidze B.
Own Goal
39' Event
Ivanov D.
45' Event
Grechkin A.

AI Match Summary

FC Sevastopol in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Sevastopol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
FC Sevastopol
15%
Draws
32%
Rubin Yalta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Sevastopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Rubin Yalta haven't matched FC Sevastopol's recent run of results.
  • FC Sevastopol are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
FC Sevastopol Clean Sheet 68%
Rubin Yalta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Sevastopol Rubin Yalta
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 21 13
Draws 4 7
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 1.96 1.55
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FC Sevastopol vs Rubin Yalta
3:1
May 8, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Rubin Yalta vs FC Sevastopol
1:0
Aug 16, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FC Sevastopol vs Rubin Yalta
2:1
May 17, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Rubin Yalta vs FC Sevastopol
2:1
Sep 21, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FC Sevastopol vs Rubin Yalta
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Sevastopol Compare

Top Goalscorer Ivanov D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Grechkin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Rubin Yalta Compare

Top Goalscorer Biryukov E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Sevastopol 77 / 100
Rubin Yalta 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Sevastopol Rubin Yalta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Sevastopol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Sevastopol's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

FC Sevastopol has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Rubin Yalta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

FC Sevastopol VS Rubin Yalta
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Sevastopol

(Home)
03 Oct
FC Sevastopol
2 : 0
Zarya Lugansk
26 Sept
Rostov 2
0 : 1
FC Sevastopol
22 Sept
FC Sevastopol
3 : 1
Rubin Yalta
05 Sept
FC Sevastopol
2 : 1
Kyzyltash
29 Aug
FC Sevastopol
1 : 0
Spartak Nalchik
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Rubin Yalta

(Away)
03 Oct
Rubin Yalta
4 : 0
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 2
26 Sept
Shahter Taganrog
0 : 1
Rubin Yalta
22 Sept
FC Sevastopol
3 : 1
Rubin Yalta
12 Sept
Kyzyltash
2 : 0
Rubin Yalta
29 Aug
Rubin Yalta
4 : 1
Maykop
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