Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Stumbras 2 vs FC Hegelmann - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga 2019
Sun, Oct 13, 2019
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Stumbras 2 host FC Hegelmann in the I Lyga 2019. Little to choose between these two on current form. FC Hegelmann have shipped 1.61 goals a game lately, while FC Stumbras 2 have conceded 1.64 and scored 0.91. Past meetings favor FC Hegelmann slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 13, 2019, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.35 - 1.11) back FC Stumbras 2 to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
FC Stumbras 2
35%
Draws
26%
FC Hegelmann
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FC Stumbras 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • FC Stumbras 2 haven't matched FC Hegelmann's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans FC Stumbras 2's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
FC Stumbras 2 Clean Sheet 20%
FC Hegelmann Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Stumbras 2 FC Hegelmann
Matches Played 11 31
Wins 4 6
Draws 2 13
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 0.91 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2019 I Lyga
FC Stumbras 2 vs FC Hegelmann
0:0
Jun 23, 2019 I Lyga
FC Hegelmann vs FC Stumbras 2
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Stumbras 2 58 / 100
FC Hegelmann 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Stumbras 2 FC Hegelmann

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Stumbras 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Hegelmann has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: FC Stumbras 2 scored in 36% of their last 11 outings.

FC Stumbras 2 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS FC Hegelmann
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Stumbras 2

(Home)
23 Jun
FC Hegelmann
3 : 0
FC Stumbras 2
18 Jun
Dziugas Telsiai
3 : 0
FC Stumbras 2
20 May
Banga
3 : 0
FC Stumbras 2
13 May
Dainava Alytus
0 : 2
FC Stumbras 2
05 May
FC Stumbras 2
4 : 0
Riteriai 2
Page 1 of 3

FC Hegelmann

(Away)
20 Sept
FC Hegelmann
1 : 1
Suduva
13 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 0
FC Hegelmann
07 Sept
FC Hegelmann
1 : 3
FK Panevezys
31 Aug
Dziugas Telsiai
2 : 2
FC Hegelmann
23 Aug
FC Hegelmann
1 : 1
Banga
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dziugas Telsiai 28 19 4 5 58:23 61
2 Banga 28 17 5 6 57:24 56
3 Vilniaus Vytis 28 17 4 7 74:31 55
4 Dainava Alytus 28 17 2 9 64:32 53
5 Nevezis Kedainiai 28 16 4 8 66:37 52
6 FA Siauliai 28 14 5 9 61:37 47
7 FC Hegelmann 28 12 8 8 57:42 44
8 FK Minija 28 12 5 11 54:49 41
9 Jonava 28 12 4 12 55:46 40
10 Kupiskis 28 10 6 12 49:56 36
11 BFA Vilnius 28 10 3 15 56:53 33
12 Riteriai 2 28 9 5 14 61:49 32
13 Zalgiris 2 28 6 4 18 43:83 22
14 FK Atmosfera 28 3 4 21 23:96 13
15 FC Pakruojis 28 3 3 22 25:145 12
16 FC Stumbras 2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - A Lyga 2020 (Main)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Relegation)