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FC Stumbras vs Atlantas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

A Lyga 2019
Sat, Jul 6, 2019
0 - 3
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Stumbras host Atlantas in the A Lyga 2019. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: FC Stumbras at 0.47 goals for, 2.13 against; Atlantas at 0.84 for, 2.39 against. Past meetings favor FC Stumbras slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 21, 2019, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.35 vs 2.00, favoring Atlantas. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FC Stumbras
15%
Draws
85%
Atlantas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atlantas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Atlantas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 0% — that's where the model lands on FC Stumbras taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
FC Stumbras Clean Sheet 10%
Atlantas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Stumbras Atlantas
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 6
Draws 3 4
Losses 22 21
Goals Scored 0.47 0.84
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2019 TOPLYGA
Atlantas vs FC Stumbras
3:0
Jul 6, 2019 TOPLYGA
FC Stumbras vs Atlantas
0:3
May 12, 2019 TOPLYGA
Atlantas vs FC Stumbras
0:0
Mar 16, 2019 TOPLYGA
FC Stumbras vs Atlantas
2:0
Oct 28, 2018 TOPLYGA
FC Stumbras vs Atlantas
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Stumbras 56 / 100
Atlantas 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Stumbras Atlantas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Stumbras Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atlantas let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Away concern: Atlantas has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

FC Stumbras scored in 30% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Stumbras VS Atlantas
0 Goals Scored 1
3 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Stumbras

(Home)
26 Oct
FK Kauno Zalgiris
3 : 0
FC Stumbras
19 Oct
Zalgiris
3 : 0
FC Stumbras
05 Oct
FC Stumbras
0 : 3
Palanga
25 Sept
FC Stumbras
0 : 3
Suduva
21 Sept
Atlantas
3 : 0
FC Stumbras
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Atlantas

(Away)
20 Jun
Utenis
2 : 1
Atlantas
27 Nov
Atlantas
0 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
22 Nov
Zalgiris
5 : 0
Atlantas
08 Nov
Atlantas
1 : 4
FK Panevezys
04 Nov
Riteriai
5 : 2
Atlantas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suduva 28 25 0 3 74:15 75
2 Zalgiris 28 21 2 5 67:22 65
3 Riteriai 28 13 7 8 44:29 46
4 FK Kauno Zalgiris 28 13 5 10 48:39 44
5 FK Panevezys 28 8 7 13 41:53 31
6 Atlantas 28 7 5 16 26:53 26
7 Palanga 28 6 1 21 29:70 19
8 FC Stumbras 28 4 3 21 12:60 15
Relegation - A Lyga 2019 (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2020 (Main)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)