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FC Stumbras vs FK Kauno Zalgiris - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

A Lyga 2019
Sat, Aug 24, 2019
0 - 3
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Stumbras host FK Kauno Zalgiris in the A Lyga 2019. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: FC Stumbras at 0.47 goals for, 2.13 against; FK Kauno Zalgiris at 1.83 for, 0.79 against. Past meetings favor FK Kauno Zalgiris slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 26, 2019, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.17 - 1.43) back FK Kauno Zalgiris to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FC Stumbras
15%
Draws
85%
FK Kauno Zalgiris
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Kauno Zalgiris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • FK Kauno Zalgiris carry the better recent record into this one.
  • FK Kauno Zalgiris are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors FK Kauno Zalgiris here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
FC Stumbras Clean Sheet 17%
FK Kauno Zalgiris Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Stumbras FK Kauno Zalgiris
Matches Played 30 42
Wins 5 25
Draws 3 10
Losses 22 7
Goals Scored 0.47 1.83
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2019 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs FC Stumbras
3:0
Aug 24, 2019 TOPLYGA
FC Stumbras vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
0:3
May 22, 2019 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs FC Stumbras
4:3
Apr 6, 2019 TOPLYGA
FC Stumbras vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
0:1
Nov 11, 2018 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs FC Stumbras
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Stumbras 10 / 100
FK Kauno Zalgiris 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Stumbras FK Kauno Zalgiris

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Kauno Zalgiris Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

FC Stumbras scored in 30% of their last 30 games.

FK Kauno Zalgiris has conceded goals in 45% of their last 42 outings.

FK Kauno Zalgiris's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS FK Kauno Zalgiris
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Stumbras

(Home)
26 Oct
FK Kauno Zalgiris
3 : 0
FC Stumbras
19 Oct
Zalgiris
3 : 0
FC Stumbras
05 Oct
FC Stumbras
0 : 3
Palanga
25 Sept
FC Stumbras
0 : 3
Suduva
21 Sept
Atlantas
3 : 0
FC Stumbras
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FK Kauno Zalgiris

(Away)
20 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
16 Sept
Zalgiris
3 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
13 Sept
FK Panevezys
0 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris
09 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 1
Suduva
06 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suduva 28 25 0 3 74:15 75
2 Zalgiris 28 21 2 5 67:22 65
3 Riteriai 28 13 7 8 44:29 46
4 FK Kauno Zalgiris 28 13 5 10 48:39 44
5 FK Panevezys 28 8 7 13 41:53 31
6 Atlantas 28 7 5 16 26:53 26
7 Palanga 28 6 1 21 29:70 19
8 FC Stumbras 28 4 3 21 12:60 15
Relegation - A Lyga 2019 (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2020 (Main)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)