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FC Stumbras vs FK Panevezys

Lithuania Lithuania

A Lyga 2019
Sat, Jun 22, 2019
0 - 3
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Stumbras host FK Panevezys in the A Lyga 2019. FK Panevezys are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: FC Stumbras at 0.47 goals for, 2.13 against; FK Panevezys at 1.58 for, 1.12 against. Head-to-head, FC Stumbras have won 2 to FK Panevezys's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 1, 2019, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.79 vs 0.99, favoring FK Panevezys. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FC Stumbras
15%
Draws
85%
FK Panevezys
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Panevezys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FK Panevezys come out ahead of FC Stumbras on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on FK Panevezys taking it.
  • Regular A Lyga 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
FC Stumbras Clean Sheet 20%
FK Panevezys Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Stumbras FK Panevezys
Matches Played 30 43
Wins 5 22
Draws 3 6
Losses 22 15
Goals Scored 0.47 1.58
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2019 TOPLYGA
FK Panevezys vs FC Stumbras
3:0
Jun 22, 2019 TOPLYGA
FC Stumbras vs FK Panevezys
0:3
Apr 27, 2019 TOPLYGA
FK Panevezys vs FC Stumbras
1:1
Mar 2, 2019 TOPLYGA
FC Stumbras vs FK Panevezys
1:0
Aug 6, 2016 Lithuanian Cup
FK Panevezys vs FC Stumbras
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Stumbras 10 / 100
FK Panevezys 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Stumbras FK Panevezys

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Panevezys Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FK Panevezys conceded in 72% of 43 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

FC Stumbras scored in 30% of their last 30 games.

Difficult form: FK Panevezys registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS FK Panevezys
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Stumbras

(Home)
26 Oct
FK Kauno Zalgiris
3 : 0
FC Stumbras
19 Oct
Zalgiris
3 : 0
FC Stumbras
05 Oct
FC Stumbras
0 : 3
Palanga
25 Sept
FC Stumbras
0 : 3
Suduva
21 Sept
Atlantas
3 : 0
FC Stumbras
Page 1 of 6

FK Panevezys

(Away)
03 Oct
Zalgiris
0 : 2
FK Panevezys
26 Sept
FK Panevezys
2 : 0
BFA Vilnius
13 Sept
FK Panevezys
0 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris
07 Sept
FC Hegelmann
1 : 3
FK Panevezys
03 Sept
Banga
0 : 3
FK Panevezys
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suduva 28 25 0 3 74:15 75
2 Zalgiris 28 21 2 5 67:22 65
3 Riteriai 28 13 7 8 44:29 46
4 FK Kauno Zalgiris 28 13 5 10 48:39 44
5 FK Panevezys 28 8 7 13 41:53 31
6 Atlantas 28 7 5 16 26:53 26
7 Palanga 28 6 1 21 29:70 19
8 FC Stumbras 28 4 3 21 12:60 15
Relegation - A Lyga 2019 (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2020 (Main)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)