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FC Stumbras vs Kruoja - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

A Lyga 2015
Sat, Nov 28, 2015
3 - 0
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Stumbras host Kruoja in the A Lyga 2015. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Kruoja have shipped 2.37 goals a game lately, while FC Stumbras have conceded 1.8 and scored 0.93. Head-to-head, FC Stumbras have won 3 to Kruoja's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Nov 28, 2015, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 0.97 vs 1.81, favoring FC Stumbras. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FC Stumbras
15%
Draws
85%
Kruoja
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kruoja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • FC Stumbras have won more games recently than Kruoja.
  • Win probability leans FC Stumbras's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular A Lyga 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • FC Stumbras have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
FC Stumbras Clean Sheet 11%
Kruoja Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Stumbras Kruoja
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 11 1
Draws 7 6
Losses 22 23
Goals Scored 0.93 0.4
Goals Conceded 1.8 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 28, 2015 TOPLYGA
FC Stumbras vs Kruoja
3:0
Sep 16, 2015 TOPLYGA
Kruoja vs FC Stumbras
0:3
Jun 25, 2015 TOPLYGA
Kruoja vs FC Stumbras
1:1
Apr 19, 2015 TOPLYGA
FC Stumbras vs Kruoja
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Stumbras 40 / 100
Kruoja 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Stumbras Kruoja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kruoja conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Kruoja lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: FC Stumbras scored in 48% of their last 40 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Stumbras VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Stumbras

(Home)
26 Oct
FK Kauno Zalgiris
3 : 0
FC Stumbras
19 Oct
Zalgiris
3 : 0
FC Stumbras
05 Oct
FC Stumbras
0 : 3
Palanga
25 Sept
FC Stumbras
0 : 3
Suduva
21 Sept
Atlantas
3 : 0
FC Stumbras
Page 1 of 8

Kruoja

(Away)
28 Nov
FC Stumbras
3 : 0
Kruoja
21 Nov
Kruoja
0 : 3
Atlantas
09 Nov
Zalgiris
3 : 0
Kruoja
30 Oct
Kruoja
0 : 3
FK Kauno Zalgiris
24 Oct
Siauliai
3 : 0
Kruoja
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zalgiris 36 31 1 4 104:25 94
2 Riteriai 36 27 3 6 92:33 84
3 Atlantas 36 21 7 8 65:34 70
4 Suduva 36 21 4 11 76:34 67
5 FK Kauno Zalgiris 36 13 6 17 47:74 45
6 Utenis 36 11 9 16 41:50 42
7 FC Stumbras 36 11 8 17 51:74 41
8 Granitas Klaipeda 36 6 9 21 37:83 27
9 Siauliai 36 5 5 26 37:94 20
10 Kruoja 36 4 8 24 23:72 20
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