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FC Stumbras vs Siauliai - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

A Lyga 2015
FC Stumbras Logo

FC Stumbras

3 - 2
FT
Siauliai Logo

Siauliai

Our Tip

Match Events

55'
Sub
Vorobjovas M. In: Tamulevicius E.
Out: Vorobjovas M.
56' Event
Medziausis D.
63' Event
Rimkevicius A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FC Stumbras in this A Lyga 2015 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Stumbras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FC Stumbras
15%
Draws
85%
Siauliai
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Siauliai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Stumbras lately — more wins on the board than Siauliai.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Siauliai taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors FC Stumbras here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
FC Stumbras Clean Sheet 11%
Siauliai Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Stumbras Siauliai
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 6 4
Losses 22 21
Goals Scored 0.81 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.92 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2015 TOPLYGA
FC Stumbras vs Siauliai
3:2
Jun 30, 2015 TOPLYGA
Siauliai vs FC Stumbras
1:2
Apr 24, 2015 TOPLYGA
Siauliai vs FC Stumbras
1:1
Feb 28, 2015 TOPLYGA
FC Stumbras vs Siauliai
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Stumbras Compare

Top Goalscorer Rimkevicius A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rackus A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Siauliai Compare

Top Goalscorer Medziausis D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Godin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Stumbras 10 / 100
Siauliai 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Stumbras Siauliai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Siauliai Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Siauliai's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Siauliai lost 3 of their last 5 games.

FC Stumbras scored in 43% of their last 37 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Stumbras VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Stumbras

(Home)
26 Oct
FK Kauno Zalgiris
3 : 0
FC Stumbras
19 Oct
Zalgiris
3 : 0
FC Stumbras
05 Oct
FC Stumbras
0 : 3
Palanga
25 Sept
FC Stumbras
0 : 3
Suduva
21 Sept
Atlantas
3 : 0
FC Stumbras
Page 1 of 8

Siauliai

(Away)
28 Nov
Siauliai
3 : 0
Granitas Klaipeda
22 Nov
Utenis
3 : 2
Siauliai
08 Nov
Riteriai
4 : 0
Siauliai
31 Oct
Suduva
5 : 0
Siauliai
24 Oct
Siauliai
3 : 0
Kruoja
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zalgiris 36 31 1 4 104:25 94
2 Riteriai 36 27 3 6 92:33 84
3 Atlantas 36 21 7 8 65:34 70
4 Suduva 36 21 4 11 76:34 67
5 FK Kauno Zalgiris 36 13 6 17 47:74 45
6 Utenis 36 11 9 16 41:50 42
7 FC Stumbras 36 11 8 17 51:74 41
8 Granitas Klaipeda 36 6 9 21 37:83 27
9 Siauliai 36 5 5 26 37:94 20
10 Kruoja 36 4 8 24 23:72 20
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