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FC Stumbras vs Zalgiris - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

A Lyga 2019
Sun, Aug 18, 2019
0 - 3
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Stumbras host Zalgiris in the A Lyga 2019. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Zalgiris have shipped 1.18 goals a game lately, while FC Stumbras have conceded 2.13 and scored 0.47. Past meetings favor Zalgiris slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 19, 2019, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.29 xG vs 1.43) point toward Zalgiris. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FC Stumbras
15%
Draws
85%
Zalgiris
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zalgiris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zalgiris come out ahead of FC Stumbras on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Zalgiris's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Zalgiris have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
FC Stumbras Clean Sheet 17%
Zalgiris Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Stumbras Zalgiris
Matches Played 30 44
Wins 5 27
Draws 3 4
Losses 22 13
Goals Scored 0.47 2
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2019 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs FC Stumbras
3:0
Aug 18, 2019 TOPLYGA
FC Stumbras vs Zalgiris
0:3
Jun 19, 2019 Lithuanian Cup
Zalgiris vs FC Stumbras
3:0
May 31, 2019 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs FC Stumbras
2:1
Apr 13, 2019 TOPLYGA
FC Stumbras vs Zalgiris
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Stumbras 10 / 100
Zalgiris 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Stumbras Zalgiris

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zalgiris Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Zalgiris conceded in 61% of 44 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

FC Stumbras's goal record stands at 30% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Zalgiris's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Zalgiris
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Stumbras

(Home)
26 Oct
FK Kauno Zalgiris
3 : 0
FC Stumbras
19 Oct
Zalgiris
3 : 0
FC Stumbras
05 Oct
FC Stumbras
0 : 3
Palanga
25 Sept
FC Stumbras
0 : 3
Suduva
21 Sept
Atlantas
3 : 0
FC Stumbras
Page 1 of 6

Zalgiris

(Away)
03 Oct
Zalgiris
0 : 2
FK Panevezys
19 Sept
Transinvest
3 : 0
Zalgiris
16 Sept
Zalgiris
3 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
13 Sept
Suduva
0 : 0
Zalgiris
06 Sept
Zalgiris
1 : 0
FA Siauliai
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suduva 28 25 0 3 74:15 75
2 Zalgiris 28 21 2 5 67:22 65
3 Riteriai 28 13 7 8 44:29 46
4 FK Kauno Zalgiris 28 13 5 10 48:39 44
5 FK Panevezys 28 8 7 13 41:53 31
6 Atlantas 28 7 5 16 26:53 26
7 Palanga 28 6 1 21 29:70 19
8 FC Stumbras 28 4 3 21 12:60 15
Relegation - A Lyga 2019 (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2020 (Main)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)