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FC Sumy vs SC Poltava - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga 2021/2022 Stadion Juvilejnyj, Sumy
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Pilipenko A. S.
33' Event
Taranushych V.
40' Event
Streltsov Y.

AI Match Summary

SC Poltava in this Druha Liga 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored SC Poltava.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FC Sumy
15%
Draws
85%
SC Poltava
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SC Poltava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SC Poltava lately — more wins on the board than FC Sumy.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
FC Sumy Clean Sheet 20%
SC Poltava Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Sumy SC Poltava
Matches Played 19 37
Wins 1 9
Draws 2 9
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 0.84 1.22
Goals Conceded 2.68 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2021 Druha Liga
FC Sumy vs SC Poltava
1:3
Jul 25, 2021 Druha Liga
SC Poltava vs FC Sumy
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Sumy Compare

Top Goalscorer Pilipenko A. S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

SC Poltava Compare

Top Goalscorer Taranushych V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Streltsov Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Sumy 32 / 100
SC Poltava 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Sumy SC Poltava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

FC Sumy's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 18 recent games.

SC Poltava's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 37 matches.

Away concern: SC Poltava has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS SC Poltava
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Sumy

(Home)
20 Nov
Nova Kakhovka
3 : 1
FC Sumy
13 Nov
FC Sumy
0 : 2
Krystal
06 Nov
Fenix Mariupol
3 : 2
FC Sumy
31 Oct
FC Sumy
1 : 3
SC Poltava
23 Oct
FC Sumy
1 : 3
Peremoga Dnipro
Page 1 of 4

SC Poltava

(Away)
02 Oct
SC Poltava
3 : 2
FC Chernihiv
26 Sept
Kulikiv
2 : 1
SC Poltava
20 Sept
SC Poltava
3 : 0
Metalist Kharkiv
12 Sept
Lokomotyv Kyiv
2 : 1
SC Poltava
04 Sept
SC Poltava
0 : 0
Inhulets
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karpaty Lviv 18 16 0 2 46:7 48
2 Livyi Bereg 19 15 1 3 47:14 46
3 LNZ Cherkasy 17 13 2 2 36:9 41
4 Dinaz Vyshgorod 19 13 1 5 33:18 40
5 Epitsentr 19 12 1 6 30:19 37
6 Munkacs Mukacheve 19 8 5 6 25:24 29
7 Karpaty Halych 18 7 4 7 23:23 25
8 Nyva Vinnytsya 17 7 4 6 29:20 25
9 Bukovyna 18 6 5 7 20:17 23
10 FC Chernihiv 18 5 5 8 17:24 20
11 Dnipro Cherkasy 18 5 2 11 24:32 17
12 Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka 19 3 6 10 16:40 15
13 Rubikon Kyiv 19 4 2 13 12:38 14
14 AFSC Kyiv 19 1 5 13 8:38 8
15 Liubomyr Stavyshche 19 1 1 17 8:51 4
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 19 13 6 0 34:7 45
2 Skoruk Tomakovka 20 12 5 3 33:14 41
3 FK Balkany 20 10 9 1 34:14 39
4 Peremoga Dnipro 20 12 3 5 34:14 39
5 Tavriya 19 9 6 4 28:19 33
6 SC Poltava 20 9 4 7 29:27 31
7 Trostyanets 19 9 4 6 34:29 31
8 MFK Mykolaiv 17 8 6 3 35:24 30
9 FC Vovchansk 20 7 6 7 27:25 27
10 Victoria 19 8 3 8 22:23 27
11 Fenix Mariupol 20 6 6 8 36:29 24
12 FC Nikopol 20 5 5 10 22:42 20
13 Nova Kakhovka 20 5 2 13 20:40 17
14 Real Pharma Odesa 20 4 2 14 22:49 14
15 Krystal 20 2 3 15 19:36 9
16 FC Sumy 19 1 2 16 16:53 5
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)