Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Tallinn vs Kalju U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Lasnamäe Sports Complex Stadium, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Jabir I.
70'
Kiisel A.
72' Event
Tarassenkov D.
Assist: Jekimov F.

AI Match Summary

Kalju U21 in this Esiliiga matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kalju U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
FC Tallinn
15%
Draws
26%
Kalju U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Tallinn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Tallinn have won more games recently than Kalju U21.
  • Win probability leans FC Tallinn's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Esiliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
FC Tallinn Clean Sheet 18%
Kalju U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Tallinn Kalju U21
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 1.45 1.27
Goals Conceded 2 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Esiliiga
FC Tallinn vs Kalju U21
0:2
Jun 1, 2026 Esiliiga
Kalju U21 vs FC Tallinn
1:3
Apr 4, 2026 Esiliiga
FC Tallinn vs Kalju U21
6:3
Sep 27, 2025 Esiliiga
FC Tallinn vs Kalju U21
2:1
Aug 9, 2025 Esiliiga
Kalju U21 vs FC Tallinn
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Tallinn Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Kalju U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jabir I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tarassenkov D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Tallinn 58 / 100
Kalju U21 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Tallinn Kalju U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Tallinn Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kalju U21 has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: FC Tallinn scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: FC Tallinn stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Tallinn VS Kalju U21
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Tallinn

(Home)
22 Sept
FC Tallinn
5 : 0
Harju JK Laagri U21
19 Sept
Elva
1 : 1
FC Tallinn
13 Sept
FC Tallinn
1 : 5
Levadia U21
03 Sept
Viimsi JK
1 : 2
FC Tallinn
29 Aug
FC Tallinn
0 : 2
Kalju U21
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Kalju U21

(Away)
21 Sept
Kalju U21
2 : 3
Nomme Utd U21
14 Sept
Tartu JK Welco
3 : 0
Kalju U21
10 Sept
Kalju U21
1 : 5
Flora Tallinn U21
06 Sept
Elva
1 : 0
Kalju U21
29 Aug
FC Tallinn
0 : 2
Kalju U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 30 19 5 6 81:39 62
2 Viimsi JK 30 15 5 10 56:31 50
3 Flora Tallinn U21 30 14 6 10 72:53 48
4 Elva 30 14 6 10 47:44 48
5 Maardu Linnameeskond 27 12 5 10 45:55 41
6 Levadia U21 29 13 2 14 60:55 41
7 Tallinna Kalev 29 10 7 12 52:55 37
8 Nomme Utd U21 30 10 6 14 50:62 36
9 FC Tallinn 29 7 8 14 35:63 29
10 Kalju U21 30 6 4 20 38:79 22
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)