Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Tallinn vs Maardu Linnameeskond

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Lasnamäe Sports Complex Stadium, Tallinn
Thu, Sep 10, 2026
4 - 2
02:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Dmitrijev A.
Assist: Shevyakov D.
45' Event
Kouadio E.
Assist: Lebedev D.
46' Event
Kouadio E.
Assist: Tsombaljuk S.

AI Match Summary

FC Tallinn host Maardu Linnameeskond in the Esiliiga. Little to choose between these two on current form. FC Tallinn have averaged 1.45 scored and 2 conceded recently, against Maardu Linnameeskond's 1.61 scored and 1.96 conceded. Head-to-head, FC Tallinn have won 1 to Maardu Linnameeskond's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Sep 10, 2026, ending 4:2. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.63) point toward Maardu Linnameeskond. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
FC Tallinn
15%
Draws
54%
Maardu Linnameeskond
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maardu Linnameeskond

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Tallinn haven't matched Maardu Linnameeskond's recent run of results.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Maardu Linnameeskond taking it.
  • Regular Esiliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
FC Tallinn Clean Sheet 14%
Maardu Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Tallinn Maardu Linnameeskond
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.45 1.61
Goals Conceded 2 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 Esiliiga
FC Tallinn vs Maardu Linnameeskond
4:2
Aug 15, 2026 Esiliiga
Maardu Linnameeskond vs FC Tallinn
1:0
May 28, 2026 Esiliiga
FC Tallinn vs Maardu Linnameeskond
0:0
Apr 23, 2026 Esiliiga
Maardu Linnameeskond vs FC Tallinn
1:1
Jan 18, 2026 Club Friendly
FC Tallinn vs Maardu Linnameeskond
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Tallinn Compare

Top Goalscorer Dmitrijev A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hansman M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Maardu Linnameeskond Compare

Top Goalscorer Kouadio E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Tallinn 19 / 100
Maardu Linnameeskond 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Tallinn Maardu Linnameeskond

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maardu Linnameeskond Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maardu Linnameeskond has conceded goals in 89% of their last 27 outings.

FC Tallinn scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: FC Tallinn remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Tallinn VS Maardu Linnameeskond
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Tallinn

(Home)
22 Sept
FC Tallinn
5 : 0
Harju JK Laagri U21
19 Sept
Elva
1 : 1
FC Tallinn
13 Sept
FC Tallinn
1 : 5
Levadia U21
03 Sept
Viimsi JK
1 : 2
FC Tallinn
29 Aug
FC Tallinn
0 : 2
Kalju U21
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Maardu Linnameeskond

(Away)
19 Sept
Levadia U21
:
Maardu Linnameeskond
06 Sept
Maardu Linnameeskond
2 : 1
Nomme Utd U21
29 Aug
Maardu Linnameeskond
4 : 2
Levadia U21
24 Aug
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 3
Maardu Linnameeskond
20 Aug
Elva
1 : 0
Maardu Linnameeskond
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 30 19 5 6 81:39 62
2 Viimsi JK 30 15 5 10 56:31 50
3 Flora Tallinn U21 30 14 6 10 72:53 48
4 Elva 30 14 6 10 47:44 48
5 Maardu Linnameeskond 27 12 5 10 45:55 41
6 Levadia U21 29 13 2 14 60:55 41
7 Tallinna Kalev 29 10 7 12 52:55 37
8 Nomme Utd U21 30 10 6 14 50:62 36
9 FC Tallinn 29 7 8 14 35:63 29
10 Kalju U21 30 6 4 20 38:79 22
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)