Sport Picks
FC Tallinn vs Tartu JK Welco
Estonia
Esiliiga Lasnamäe Sports Complex Stadium 
AI Match Summary
FC Tallinn play Tartu JK Welco in the Esiliiga. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC Tallinn averaged 1.66 goals scored and 2.66 conceded. Tartu JK Welco averaged 2.69 goals scored and 1.62 conceded. In past meetings, FC Tallinn won 0, Tartu JK Welco won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 13, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for FC Tallinn and 2.13 for Tartu JK Welco. This points to a Tartu JK Welco double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- FC Tallinn picked up more points recently compared to Tartu JK Welco.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 2.13 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Tallinn | Tartu JK Welco |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 17 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 15 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.66 | 2.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.66 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.88 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Tallinn Compare
Tartu JK Welco Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Tallinn scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Tartu JK Welco let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
FC Tallinn went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Tartu JK Welco lost 0 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu JK Welco | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 54:23 | 42 |
| 2 | Viimsi JK | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28:14 | 31 |
| 3 | Flora Tallinn U21 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 42:31 | 30 |
| 4 | Elva | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 31:32 | 24 |
| 5 | Tallinna Kalev | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 35:36 | 22 |
| 6 | Levadia U21 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 34:33 | 21 |
| 7 | Maardu Linnameeskond | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23:36 | 20 |
| 8 | Nomme Utd U21 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 34:41 | 19 |
| 9 | Kalju U21 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 28:42 | 18 |
| 10 | FC Tallinn | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 25:46 | 17 |