Sport Picks
FC Tartu vs Eston Villa Prediction & H2H Stats
Estonia
Estonian Cup 2017/2018 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-1, with FC Tartu advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Tartu
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- FC Tartu haven't matched Eston Villa's recent run of results.
- Model gives FC Tartu a 64% chance of winning this.
- Eston Villa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor FC Tartu, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).
- FC Tartu have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
FC Tartu Clean Sheet 10%
Eston Villa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Tartu | Eston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 12 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 12 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 5 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 2.92 | 1.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.58 | 3.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.24 | 4.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 21, 2017 Estonian Cup
FC Tartu vs Eston Villa
3:1
Aug 17, 2016 Estonian Cup
Eston Villa vs FC Tartu
4:5
Jul 1, 2015 Estonian Cup
Eston Villa vs FC Tartu
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Tartu 83 / 100
Eston Villa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Tartu Eston Villa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FC Tartu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Tartu's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 12 recent games.
H2H data points to 5.33 goals as a typical output.
Defensive concern: Eston Villa conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
FC Tartu has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
FC Tartu VS Eston Villa
2.6 Goals Scored 3.75
5.6 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Tartu
(Home) 09 Aug
Paide Linnameeskond II
11 : 0 FC Tartu
25 Jul
Tallinna Kalev III
1 : 5 FC Tartu
21 Jun
FC Tartu
3 : 1 Eston Villa
06 Sept
FC Tartu
0 : 11 FCI Tallinn
17 Aug
Eston Villa
4 : 5 FC Tartu
Page 1 of 3
21 Jun
FC Tartu
3 : 1 Eston Villa
06 Sept
FC Tartu
0 : 11 FCI Tallinn
14 Aug
FC Tartu
2 : 5 Retro
06 Jul
FC Tartu
8 : 1 Rapla
06 Jun
FC Tartu
4 : 0 FCP Parnu
Page 1 of 2
Eston Villa
(Away) 26 Jul
Tabasalu Ulasabat
13 : 0 Eston Villa
31 Jul
Kalju
11 : 1 Eston Villa
22 Aug
Nomme Utd
11 : 1 Eston Villa
21 Jun
Eston Villa
3 : 0 Marjamaa Kompanii
29 Jun
FCI Tallinn
3 : 1 Eston Villa
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Tabasalu Ulasabat
13 : 0 Eston Villa
31 Jul
Kalju
11 : 1 Eston Villa
22 Aug
Nomme Utd
11 : 1 Eston Villa
29 Jun
FCI Tallinn
3 : 1 Eston Villa
09 Aug
Narva
3 : 0 Eston Villa
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Narva 6
Maardu Linnameeskond 1
TBD -
Pohja-Sakala -
Legion -
TBD -
TBD -
Levadia Tallinn III -
JK Poseidon -
TBD -
Kose 1
Raasiku Joker 10
Tallinna Kalev -
TBD -
Pirita 1
Rakvere 5
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
TBD -
TBD -
Ambla -
Tallinna Depoo -
TBD -
FCP Parnu 1
Ganvix Turi 4
Anija 7
Puhkus Mehhikos 0
Elbato 1
Lihula JK 7
Castovanni Eagles -
TBD -
FCI Tallinn II 0
FCI Tallinn 7
Kalju 13
Viimsi JK 2 0
TBD -
Koeru -
Kohtla-Nomme 3
Soccernet 1
TBD -
Lelle -
FC Tartu 3
Eston Villa 1
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev III -
Santos Tartu -
TBD -
JK Poseidon II 1
Paide Linnameeskond II 12
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 7
Rakvere II 0
Rasmus Varki Jalgpallikool 2
Saue JK Laagri 10
Flora U19 5
Vastseliina Tannem 0
Raplamaa 0
Tartu JK Welco 1
Paide Linnameeskond 27
FC Hiiu United 0
Imavere Forss 1
Jogeva 4
Sillamae Kalev -
TBD -
Nomme Utd 0
Levadia 3
Flora Tallinn U21 10
Rumori Calcio II 0
TBD -
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II -
Jogeva Wolves 5
Odratakkel 1
TBD -
Viimsi JK -
Zenit Tallinn -
TBD -
JK Jalgpallihaigla 0
Otepaa 6
Jarva-Jaani 18
JK 32. keskkool 2
TBD -
Pohja-Tallinna -
Maardu United -
TBD -
TBD -
Valga Warrior -
Tartu Ulikool 1
Viimsi Lovid 0
Tallinna Wolves 0
TransferWise 2
Kohila -
TBD -
Oismae Torm 2
Jogeva Wolves II 3
Tammeka Tartu -
TBD -
TBD -
Tulevik -
Kuressaare -
TBD -
FC Lootos Polva 1
Kadrina SK Moe 4
Loo JK -
TBD -
Navi Vutiselts 2
Rada Kuusalu 4
Kadakas 7
Raudteetoolised 2
TBD -
Rapla Lokomotiiv -
Molycorp Silmet 2
Igiliikur 0
TBD -
Rumori Calcio -
Elva -
TBD -
Tallinna FC Zapoos 3
FC Ararat 5
SK Taaksi 1
Vaatsa Vald 0
Tallinn Piraaja 1
Maardu Aliens 2
Narva United -
TBD -
TBD -
Parnu JK Vaprus -
Tammeka Tartu II 6
Olympic Tallinn 1
Helios 1
Flora 17
1/32-finals
Narva 8
Pohja-Sakala 0
Legion 0
Levadia Tallinn III 3
JK Poseidon 2
Raasiku Joker 0
Tallinna Kalev 0
Rakvere 1
Laanemaa Haapsalu 4
Ambla 1
Tallinna Depoo 1
Ganvix Turi 12
Anija 5
Lihula JK 1
Castovanni Eagles 0
FCI Tallinn 4
Kalju 1
Koeru 0
Kohtla-Nomme 2
Lelle 3
FC Tartu 5
Tallinna Kalev III 1
Santos Tartu 0
Paide Linnameeskond II 3
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 0
Saue JK Laagri 0
Flora U19 0
Tartu JK Welco 2
Paide Linnameeskond 7
Jogeva 3
Sillamae Kalev 1
Levadia 2
Flora Tallinn U21 8
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II 0
Jogeva Wolves 1
Viimsi JK 6
Zenit Tallinn 5
Otepaa 2
Jarva-Jaani 1
Pohja-Tallinna 4
Maardu United 10
Valga Warrior 0
Tartu Ulikool 2
TransferWise 3
Kohila 3
Jogeva Wolves II 0
Tammeka Tartu 0
Tulevik 1
Kuressaare 12
Kadrina SK Moe 0
Loo JK 1
Rada Kuusalu 2
Kadakas 2
Rapla Lokomotiiv 1
Molycorp Silmet 0
Rumori Calcio 6
Elva 8
FC Ararat 0
SK Taaksi 1
Maardu Aliens 6
Narva United 2
Parnu JK Vaprus 1
Tammeka Tartu II 0
Flora 7
1/16-finals
Narva 9
Levadia Tallinn III 2
JK Poseidon 0
Rakvere 4
Laanemaa Haapsalu 2
Ganvix Turi 1
Anija 0
FCI Tallinn 16
Kalju 8
Lelle 0
FC Tartu 0
Paide Linnameeskond II 11
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 5
Tartu JK Welco 0
Paide Linnameeskond 1
Levadia 3
Flora Tallinn U21 2
Viimsi JK 0
Zenit Tallinn 1
Pohja-Tallinna 5
Maardu United 5
TransferWise 4
Kohila 0
Tulevik 8
Kuressaare 9
Rada Kuusalu 1
Kadakas 2
Rumori Calcio 3
Elva 3
Maardu Aliens 0
Narva United 0
Flora 8
1/8-finals
Narva 2
Rakvere 0
Laanemaa Haapsalu 1
FCI Tallinn 7
Kalju 2
Paide Linnameeskond II 1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 0
Levadia 7
Flora Tallinn U21 3
Pohja-Tallinna 0
Maardu United -
Tulevik -
Kuressaare 6
Rumori Calcio 0
Elva 0
Flora 2
Quarter-finals
Narva 6
FCI Tallinn 0
Kalju 0
Levadia 1
Flora Tallinn U21 7
Tulevik 3
Kuressaare 0
Flora 7
Semi-finals
Narva 0
Levadia 5
Flora Tallinn U21 3
Flora 9
Final
Levadia 1
Flora 0
