Sport Picks
Match Events
14'
14'
Trink K.
49'
49'
Petersell M.
50'
50'
Parli G.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 8-1, with FC Tartu advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Tartu
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- FC Tartu carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives FC Tartu a 64% chance of winning this.
- FC Tartu have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor FC Tartu, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 98%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 98%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
FC Tartu Clean Sheet 10%
Rapla Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Tartu | Rapla |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 12 | 12 |
| Wins | 7 | 4 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 5 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2.92 | 1.92 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.58 | 5.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 4.00 | 2.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 6, 2014 Estonian Cup
FC Tartu vs Rapla
8:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Tartu Compare
Top Goalscorer Kovbasnjuk E.
3 Goals Assists Leader Parli G.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2
Rapla Compare
Top Goalscorer Maltsar M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Tartu 83 / 100
Rapla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Tartu Rapla
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FC Tartu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Tartu's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 12 recent games.
These sides typically produce 9.00 goals when they meet.
Rapla has conceded goals in 75% of their last 12 outings.
Recent resilience: FC Tartu stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
FC Tartu VS Rapla
3.38 Goals Scored 2.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 5.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Tartu
(Home) 09 Aug
Paide Linnameeskond II
11 : 0 FC Tartu
25 Jul
Tallinna Kalev III
1 : 5 FC Tartu
21 Jun
FC Tartu
3 : 1 Eston Villa
06 Sept
FC Tartu
0 : 11 FCI Tallinn
17 Aug
Eston Villa
4 : 5 FC Tartu
Page 1 of 3
21 Jun
FC Tartu
3 : 1 Eston Villa
06 Sept
FC Tartu
0 : 11 FCI Tallinn
14 Aug
FC Tartu
2 : 5 Retro
06 Jul
FC Tartu
8 : 1 Rapla
06 Jun
FC Tartu
4 : 0 FCP Parnu
Page 1 of 2
Rapla
(Away) 30 Jun
Rapla
2 : 6 Metropool Parnu
06 Jul
FC Tartu
8 : 1 Rapla
17 Jul
Raasiku Joker
9 : 0 Rapla
12 Jun
Rapla
6 : 0 Donkers
04 Sept
Levadia
17 : 1 Rapla
Page 1 of 3
06 Jul
FC Tartu
8 : 1 Rapla
17 Jul
Raasiku Joker
9 : 0 Rapla
04 Sept
Levadia
17 : 1 Rapla
30 Jul
Saku Sporting
3 : 4 Rapla
26 Jun
Pirita
0 : 8 Rapla
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Flora Tallinn U21 5
Santos Tartu 4
Rapla Lokomotiiv 0
Narva United 2
Rada Kuusalu 9
Tartu Ulikool 0
SK EPMU Tartu 2
Tammeka Tartu 5
Flora U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tapa -
Tallinna Jalgpalliselts 5
Lootos FCR 2
Virtsu 1
Igiliikur 5
Retro 5
Tallinn Piraaja 1
TBD -
Valga Warrior -
Rapla -
TBD -
FCP Parnu 0
FC Tartu 4
Tabasalu 3
JK Jalgpallihaigla 2
Kadakas 0
Kaitseliit 2
Nomme Utd 10
Anija 0
Lelle 1
Ulikool Tallinn 5
FCI Tallinn II 7
Paidelona 0
TBD -
Elva -
Otepaa -
TBD -
Castovanni Eagles 0
Rakvere 3
Metropool Parnu 9
Haiba 0
Fellin 1
Raasiku Valla 2
Ulikool Tallinn II -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Ararat -
Kivioli Irbis -
TBD -
Loo JK 1
Saku Sporting 3
Reaal -
TBD -
Laanemaa Haapsalu 1
SK Taaksi 2
Keila JK 12
Somnium 1
TBD -
Puuma -
Tartu Tehased 4
Twister Tallinn 1
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Flora 7
Tulevik 0
TBD -
JK Visadus -
Tartu JK Welco -
TBD -
TBD -
Kose -
Levadia -
TBD -
Aseri Askele 1
Tallinna Kalev II 6
Imavere Forss 6
Helios 1
Eston Villa 1
Saue JK Laagri 2
FCI Tallinn 16
JK Poseidon 0
Viimsi Ehitus 2
Raasiku Joker 8
Soccernet -
TBD -
Pirita 0
Voru 1
Tallinna Dnipro -
Vutihoolikud -
Shnelli 0
Maardu United 8
Viimsi MRJK 6
Jarva-Jaani 1
Narva 1
Sillamae Kalev 3
Johvi Phoenix -
SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS -
Tartu Taara 0
Vandra Vaprus 8
IAFA Estonia -
TBD -
Raudne Rusikas 2
Tallinna Kalev III 3
Jogeva -
TBD -
TBD -
Lasnamae -
Navi Vutiselts -
TBD -
Parnu Linnameeskond 3
Tallinna Kalev 4
Maardu Linnameeskond 8
Tallinna Depoo 3
Olympic Tallinn 0
Viimsi JK 5
Torva JK 6
Vastseliina Tannem 0
Kohtla-Nomme 2
Ganvix Turi 11
Kuressaare 7
Vaatsa Vald 0
Oismae Torm 1
Merkuur Tartu 10
Ambla -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalju -
1/32-finals
Flora Tallinn U21 3
Narva United 1
Rada Kuusalu 1
Tammeka Tartu 4
Flora U19 4
Tapa 0
Tallinna Jalgpalliselts 0
Igiliikur 2
Retro 9
Valga Warrior 2
Rapla 1
FC Tartu 8
Tabasalu 3
Kaitseliit 0
Nomme Utd 2
Ulikool Tallinn 9
FCI Tallinn II 3
Elva 2
Otepaa 0
Rakvere 2
Metropool Parnu 3
Raasiku Valla 1
Ulikool Tallinn II 0
FC Ararat 5
Kivioli Irbis 15
Saku Sporting 0
Reaal 2
SK Taaksi 4
Keila JK 2
Puuma 1
Tartu Tehased 0
Paide Linnameeskond 17
Flora 5
JK Visadus 0
Tartu JK Welco 0
Kose 1
Levadia 19
Tallinna Kalev II 0
Imavere Forss 1
Saue JK Laagri 3
FCI Tallinn 2
Raasiku Joker 0
Soccernet 2
Voru 5
Tallinna Dnipro 2
Maardu United 0
Viimsi MRJK 0
Sillamae Kalev 11
Johvi Phoenix 2
Vandra Vaprus 1
IAFA Estonia -
Tallinna Kalev III -
Jogeva -
Lasnamae -
Navi Vutiselts 0
Tallinna Kalev 3
Maardu Linnameeskond 2
Viimsi JK 1
Torva JK 1
Ganvix Turi 4
Kuressaare 4
Merkuur Tartu 0
Ambla 0
Kalju 18
1/16-finals
Flora Tallinn U21 3
Tammeka Tartu 1
Flora U19 2
Igiliikur 3
Retro 5
FC Tartu 2
Tabasalu 2
Ulikool Tallinn 11
FCI Tallinn II 2
Rakvere 1
Metropool Parnu 3
FC Ararat 4
Kivioli Irbis 7
SK Taaksi 3
Keila JK 0
Paide Linnameeskond 6
Flora 13
Kose 0
Levadia -
Saue JK Laagri -
FCI Tallinn 11
Voru 0
Tallinna Dnipro 0
Sillamae Kalev 13
Johvi Phoenix 3
Tallinna Kalev III 1
Jogeva 0
Tallinna Kalev 1
Maardu Linnameeskond 5
Ganvix Turi 1
Kuressaare 0
Kalju 4
1/8-finals
Flora Tallinn U21 9
Igiliikur 0
Retro 3
Ulikool Tallinn 4
FCI Tallinn II 3
FC Ararat 0
Kivioli Irbis -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Flora 11
Saue JK Laagri 0
FCI Tallinn 0
Sillamae Kalev 1
Johvi Phoenix 3
Tallinna Kalev 0
Maardu Linnameeskond 0
Kalju 4
Quarter-finals
Flora Tallinn U21 5
Ulikool Tallinn 3
FCI Tallinn II 0
Paide Linnameeskond 3
Flora 2
Sillamae Kalev 1
Johvi Phoenix 3
Kalju 5
Semi-finals
Flora Tallinn U21 1
Paide Linnameeskond 3
Flora 1
Kalju 2
Final
Paide Linnameeskond 0
Kalju 2
