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FC Tbilisi 2025 vs Gonio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Asimu T.
39'
Khutsishvili N.
39'
Khutsishvili N.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga 3 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
FC Tbilisi 2025
35%
Draws
26%
Gonio
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FC Tbilisi 2025

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Tbilisi 2025 lately — more wins on the board than Gonio.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on FC Tbilisi 2025 taking it.
  • Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Gonio have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
FC Tbilisi 2025 Clean Sheet 20%
Gonio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Tbilisi 2025 Gonio
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 13
Draws 9 5
Losses 3 11
Goals Scored 2.32 1.45
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 Liga 3
Gonio vs FC Tbilisi 2025
1:0
Apr 24, 2026 Liga 3
FC Tbilisi 2025 vs Gonio
1:1
Dec 7, 2024 Liga 3
FC Tbilisi 2025 vs Gonio
2:6
Jun 15, 2024 Liga 3
Gonio vs FC Tbilisi 2025
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Tbilisi 2025 Compare

Top Goalscorer Asimu T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Gonio Compare

Top Goalscorer Igor Dutra
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Tbilisi 2025 85 / 100
Gonio 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Tbilisi 2025 Gonio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Tbilisi 2025 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Tbilisi 2025's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Recent resilience: FC Tbilisi 2025 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Gonio's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Tbilisi 2025 VS Gonio
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Tbilisi 2025

(Home)
17 Sept
Gonio
1 : 0
FC Tbilisi 2025
10 Sept
FC Tbilisi 2025
1 : 1
Iberia 1999 2
03 Sept
Locomotive Tbilisi
3 : 3
FC Tbilisi 2025
27 Aug
FC Tbilisi 2025
5 : 0
Iveria Khashuri
20 Aug
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
0 : 0
FC Tbilisi 2025
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Gonio

(Away)
08 Oct
WIT Georgia
2 : 0
Gonio
17 Sept
Gonio
1 : 0
FC Tbilisi 2025
10 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
2 : 1
Gonio
03 Sept
Guria
2 : 0
Gonio
28 Aug
Gonio
2 : 2
Iberia 1999 2
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guria 22 16 3 3 63:11 51
2 FC Tbilisi 2025 22 14 7 1 54:14 49
3 Iberia 1999 2 22 11 8 3 34:16 41
4 Merani Tbilisi 22 11 6 5 37:27 39
5 WIT Georgia 23 11 5 7 37:25 38
6 Gonio 23 11 5 7 32:24 38
7 Orbi 22 10 4 8 36:25 34
8 Didube 23 9 7 7 35:31 34
9 Dinamo Tbilisi 2 22 9 5 8 34:30 32
10 Locomotive Tbilisi 23 8 7 8 30:29 31
11 Margveti 2006 22 9 3 10 30:35 30
12 Khobi 22 6 3 13 28:45 21
13 FC Gardabani 22 4 4 14 18:53 16
14 Iveria Khashuri 22 1 10 11 22:46 13
15 Betlemi Keda 22 3 4 15 13:54 13
16 FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 22 2 5 15 18:56 11
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)