Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Tbilisi 2025 vs Samgurali II

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Tbilisi 2025 in this Liga 3 2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Tbilisi 2025.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
FC Tbilisi 2025
30%
Draws
35%
Samgurali II
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • FC Tbilisi 2025 have won more games recently than Samgurali II.
  • Model gives FC Tbilisi 2025 a 35% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
FC Tbilisi 2025 Clean Sheet 20%
Samgurali II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Tbilisi 2025 Samgurali II
Matches Played 47 31
Wins 26 8
Draws 14 6
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 2.15 1.19
Goals Conceded 0.87 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2018 Liga 3
FC Tbilisi 2025 vs Samgurali II
1:0
Jun 5, 2018 Liga 3
Samgurali II vs FC Tbilisi 2025
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Tbilisi 2025 85 / 100
Samgurali II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Tbilisi 2025 Samgurali II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Tbilisi 2025 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Tbilisi 2025 found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (47 games).

Samgurali II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

FC Tbilisi 2025 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Samgurali II registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Tbilisi 2025 VS -
2.5 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Tbilisi 2025

(Home)
17 Sept
Gonio
1 : 0
FC Tbilisi 2025
10 Sept
FC Tbilisi 2025
1 : 1
Iberia 1999 2
03 Sept
Locomotive Tbilisi
3 : 3
FC Tbilisi 2025
27 Aug
FC Tbilisi 2025
5 : 0
Iveria Khashuri
20 Aug
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
0 : 0
FC Tbilisi 2025
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Samgurali II

(Away)
21 Jul
Samgurali II
0 : 2
Gagra
10 Jun
Real Varketili 2
1 : 5
Samgurali II
21 Apr
Samgurali II
1 : 3
Telavi
06 Dec
Samgurali II
2 : 1
Samegrelo
29 Nov
Dusheti
5 : 0
Samgurali II
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Zugdidi 38 27 3 8 65:31 84
2 Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 38 25 7 6 78:40 79
3 Guria 38 21 10 7 59:31 73
4 Iberia 1999 2 38 21 4 13 60:50 67
5 FC Kolkheti Khobi 38 17 10 11 54:35 61
6 Borjomi 38 18 7 13 66:56 61
7 Dusheti 38 19 4 15 64:55 61
8 Meshakhte Tkibuli 38 17 6 15 59:54 57
9 Gori 38 14 11 13 58:48 53
10 Betlemi Keda 38 14 9 15 52:58 51
11 Samegrelo 38 13 9 16 63:55 48
12 FC Tbilisi 2025 38 13 8 17 58:58 47
13 Chiatura 38 12 11 15 39:47 47
14 Mark Stars Tbilisi 38 13 7 18 59:65 46
15 Algeti Marneuli 38 13 7 18 54:64 46
16 Khoni 38 12 9 17 44:52 45
17 FC Gardabani 38 11 6 21 39:63 39
18 Sulori Vani 38 10 6 22 38:77 36
19 Samgurali II 38 8 7 23 40:82 31
20 Matchakhela 38 5 13 20 35:63 28
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2019 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2018 (Relegation)