Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Tbilisi vs Gagra 2

Georgia Georgia

Pirveli Liga 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Tbilisi in this Pirveli Liga 2008/2009 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Tbilisi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
FC Tbilisi
20%
Draws
22%
Gagra 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Tbilisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Tbilisi have won more games recently than Gagra 2.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on FC Tbilisi taking it.
  • Regular Pirveli Liga 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • FC Tbilisi have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
FC Tbilisi Clean Sheet 16%
Gagra 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Tbilisi Gagra 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 5 3
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.8 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2009 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Tbilisi vs Gagra 2
3:1
Mar 11, 2009 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Tbilisi vs Gagra 2
1:0
Oct 26, 2008 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Gagra 2 vs FC Tbilisi
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Tbilisi 84 / 100
Gagra 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Tbilisi Gagra 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Tbilisi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gagra 2 has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

FC Tbilisi scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

FC Tbilisi went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Tbilisi VS Gagra 2
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Tbilisi

(Home)
24 May
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
1 : 1
FC Tbilisi
19 May
FC Tbilisi
2 : 2
Dila Gori
12 May
FC Tbilisi
8 : 1
Kakheti Telavi
30 Apr
Chikhura Sachkhere
1 : 3
FC Tbilisi
26 Apr
Hereti
3 : 1
FC Tbilisi
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Gagra 2

(Away)
26 Jun
Gagra 2
1 : 2
Odishi 1919
20 Jul
Gagra 2
0 : 5
Dinamo Batumi
20 Jun
Gagra 2
2 : 0
WIT Georgia 2
19 May
Gagra 2
0 : 1
Chikhura Sachkhere
12 May
Gagra 2
0 : 2
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
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