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Stadium Background

FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Tokyo in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Tokyo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
FC Tokyo
44%
Draws
20%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sanfrecce Hiroshima lately — more wins on the board than FC Tokyo.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
FC Tokyo Clean Sheet 14%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Tokyo Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 16 18
Draws 5 2
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.38 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Club Friendly
FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4:3
Oct 17, 2025 J1 League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Tokyo
0:0
May 25, 2025 J1 League
FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0:3
Aug 31, 2024 J1 League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Tokyo
3:2
Jun 9, 2024 J.League Cup
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Tokyo
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Tokyo 35 / 100
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Tokyo Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: FC Tokyo scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Sanfrecce Hiroshima conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

FC Tokyo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Tokyo VS Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%