Sport Picks
Match Events
5'
5'
Goodrum P.
5'
5'
Cissoko A.
11'
11'
Dorsey L.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Tulsa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to FC Tulsa lately — more wins on the board than Lexington.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on FC Tulsa taking it.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- FC Tulsa have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
FC Tulsa Clean Sheet 12%
Lexington Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Tulsa | Lexington |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 26, 2026 USL Championship
FC Tulsa vs Lexington
0:0
Oct 5, 2025 USL Championship
FC Tulsa vs Lexington
3:0
May 18, 2025 USL Championship
Lexington vs FC Tulsa
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Tulsa 40 / 100
Lexington 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Tulsa Lexington
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Tulsa found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).
Lexington's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.
FC Tulsa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
FC Tulsa VS Lexington
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Tulsa
(Home) 26 Jul
FC Tulsa
0 : 0 Lexington
19 Jul
FC Tulsa
1 : 0 El Paso Locomotive
12 Jul
Birmingham Legion
3 : 1 FC Tulsa
21 Jun
FC Tulsa
1 : 2 Colorado Springs
18 Jun
FC Tulsa
2 : 0 Monterey Bay
Page 1 of 7
26 Jul
FC Tulsa
0 : 0 Lexington
19 Jul
FC Tulsa
1 : 0 El Paso Locomotive
21 Jun
FC Tulsa
1 : 2 Colorado Springs
18 Jun
FC Tulsa
2 : 0 Monterey Bay
07 Jun
FC Tulsa
1 : 2 San Antonio FC
Page 1 of 4
Lexington
(Away) 26 Jul
FC Tulsa
0 : 0 Lexington
22 Jul
Lexington
2 : 0 Oakland Roots
15 Jul
Lexington
1 : 4 New Mexico
12 Jul
Louisville City
4 : 2 Lexington
04 Jul
Tampa Bay
1 : 4 Lexington
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
FC Tulsa
0 : 0 Lexington
12 Jul
Louisville City
4 : 2 Lexington
04 Jul
Tampa Bay
1 : 4 Lexington
06 Jun
Detroit City
1 : 2 Lexington
31 May
El Paso Locomotive
1 : 4 Lexington
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 28:15 | 35 |
| 2 | Charleston | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 32:24 | 27 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 23:15 | 27 |
| 4 | Louisville City | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26:25 | 24 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 19:19 | 23 |
| 6 | Rhode Island | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25:18 | 22 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:17 | 21 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 22:29 | 21 |
| 9 | Hartford Athletic | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 12:14 | 20 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 16 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 19:29 | 15 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17:27 | 13 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 23:46 | 8 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orange County SC | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 27:19 | 31 |
| 2 | San Antonio FC | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 22:19 | 28 |
| 3 | Colorado Springs | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 25 |
| 4 | New Mexico | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19:15 | 24 |
| 5 | Sacramento Republic | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 19:15 | 23 |
| 6 | FC Tulsa | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18:16 | 23 |
| 7 | Lexington | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24:20 | 22 |
| 8 | El Paso Locomotive | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 27:25 | 22 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 24:26 | 21 |
| 10 | Phoenix Rising | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 23:24 | 21 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 25:27 | 21 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 17:27 | 15 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
