Sport Picks
Match Events
26'
26'
Dorsey L.
Assist: Ian
46'
46'
Sub
Ritchie S. In: Glasgow O.
Out: Ritchie S.
50'
50'
Egwu K.
AI Match Summary
FC Tulsa in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Tulsa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
35%
18%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FC Tulsa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Monterey Bay haven't matched FC Tulsa's recent run of results.
- Model gives FC Tulsa a 47% chance of winning this.
- European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- FC Tulsa have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
FC Tulsa Clean Sheet 20%
Monterey Bay Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Tulsa | Monterey Bay |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 5 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 18, 2026 USL Championship
FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay
2:0
May 3, 2026 USL Championship
Monterey Bay vs FC Tulsa
1:2
Aug 7, 2025 USL Championship
Monterey Bay vs FC Tulsa
2:3
Jul 17, 2025 USL Championship
FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay
2:1
Oct 27, 2024 USL Championship
FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Tulsa Compare
Top Goalscorer Dorsey L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Batista L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Monterey Bay Compare
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Tulsa 49 / 100
Monterey Bay 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Tulsa Monterey Bay
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FC Tulsa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Monterey Bay let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
FC Tulsa scored in 75% of their last 28 games.
FC Tulsa has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
FC Tulsa VS Monterey Bay
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
25% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Tulsa
(Home) 19 Sept
Brooklyn FC
2 : 2 FC Tulsa
13 Sept
Phoenix Rising
2 : 1 FC Tulsa
06 Sept
San Antonio FC
0 : 0 FC Tulsa
30 Aug
FC Tulsa
1 : 0 Rhode Island
23 Aug
Orange County SC
1 : 5 FC Tulsa
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
FC Tulsa
1 : 0 Rhode Island
09 Aug
FC Tulsa
0 : 1 Detroit City
06 Aug
FC Tulsa
1 : 0 Sacramento Republic
26 Jul
FC Tulsa
0 : 0 Lexington
19 Jul
FC Tulsa
1 : 0 El Paso Locomotive
Page 1 of 3
Monterey Bay
(Away) 19 Sept
Charleston
1 : 0 Monterey Bay
06 Sept
Monterey Bay
1 : 1 Phoenix Rising
30 Aug
Monterey Bay
1 : 1 Sacramento Republic
22 Aug
Rhode Island
3 : 1 Monterey Bay
16 Aug
Oakland Roots
1 : 1 Monterey Bay
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Charleston
1 : 0 Monterey Bay
22 Aug
Rhode Island
3 : 1 Monterey Bay
16 Aug
Oakland Roots
1 : 1 Monterey Bay
06 Aug
El Paso Locomotive
1 : 0 Monterey Bay
01 Aug
Lexington
3 : 2 Monterey Bay
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 45:23 | 51 |
| 2 | Charleston | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 50:31 | 43 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 29:19 | 40 |
| 4 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 28:26 | 38 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 27:24 | 38 |
| 6 | Louisville City | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 41:40 | 36 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 32:29 | 33 |
| 8 | Rhode Island | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 35:26 | 32 |
| 9 | Miami FC | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 30:43 | 27 |
| 10 | Birmingham Legion | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 36:42 | 23 |
| 11 | Loudoun United | 24 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 27:42 | 20 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25:49 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 30:65 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 44:31 | 46 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 37:27 | 43 |
| 3 | Colorado Springs | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 40:37 | 38 |
| 4 | Lexington | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 43:30 | 37 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 29:23 | 37 |
| 6 | Sacramento Republic | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 30:20 | 37 |
| 7 | San Antonio FC | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 29:28 | 37 |
| 8 | Orange County SC | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 34:40 | 36 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 32:35 | 33 |
| 10 | Phoenix Rising | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 35:35 | 33 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 30:35 | 30 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25:43 | 18 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
