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Stadium Background

FC U Craiova vs Progresul Spartac

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 5 2025/2026 Stadionul Ion Oblemenco, Craiova
Sat, Oct 11, 2025
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC U Craiova host Progresul Spartac in the Liga 3 - Seria 5 2025/2026. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. FC U Craiova have averaged 0.8 scored and 2.5 conceded recently, against Progresul Spartac's 2.07 scored and 1.53 conceded. Head-to-head, FC U Craiova have won 0 to Progresul Spartac's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.17 vs 2.63, favoring Progresul Spartac. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
FC U Craiova
15%
Draws
64%
Progresul Spartac
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Progresul Spartac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • FC U Craiova haven't matched Progresul Spartac's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
FC U Craiova Clean Sheet 10%
Progresul Spartac Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC U Craiova Progresul Spartac
Matches Played 10 30
Wins 2 15
Draws 1 2
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 0.8 2.07
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Progresul Spartac vs FC U Craiova
0:0
Oct 11, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 5
FC U Craiova vs Progresul Spartac
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC U Craiova 30 / 100
Progresul Spartac 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC U Craiova Progresul Spartac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Progresul Spartac let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Progresul Spartac's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

FC U Craiova's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 10 recent games.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

FC U Craiova VS Progresul Spartac
0 Goals Scored 2.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC U Craiova

(Home)
29 Jul
FC U Craiova
0 : 5
CSO Filiasi
06 Sept
FC U Craiova
0 : 6
Cetatea Turnu Magurele
30 Aug
FC U Craiova
0 : 0
Academica Bals
06 Aug
Farcasesti
3 : 2
FC U Craiova
10 May
CSC Dumbravita
3 : 0
FC U Craiova
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Progresul Spartac

(Away)
26 Sept
Progresul Spartac
2 : 1
FCSB 2
23 Sept
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
1 : 0
Progresul Spartac
19 Sept
Progresul Spartac
0 : 1
Omega Sport
12 Sept
Progresul Spartac
1 : 2
Progresul Mogosoaia
04 Sept
CSM Alexandria
1 : 0
Progresul Spartac
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CS U Craiova 2 20 15 4 1 37:16 49
2 Cetatea Turnu Magurele 20 12 7 1 41:19 43
3 Academica Bals 20 12 5 3 35:18 41
4 LPS HD Clinceni 20 12 3 5 44:19 39
5 CSM Alexandria 20 10 6 4 35:19 36
6 Curtisoara 20 8 4 8 28:31 28
7 Progresul Spartac 20 8 2 10 33:33 26
8 SCM Dunarea Giurgiu 20 5 2 13 19:38 17
9 Adunatii-Copaceni 20 4 1 15 16:36 13
10 CSO Filiasi 20 3 2 15 15:42 11
11 Nanov 20 2 2 16 13:45 8
12 FC U Craiova 0 0 0 0 0:0 -106
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 5 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)