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FC Ulaanbaatar vs Brera Ilch - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mongolia Mongolia

Premier League 2024/2025
FC Ulaanbaatar Logo

FC Ulaanbaatar

0 - 0
FT
Brera Ilch Logo

Brera Ilch

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2024/2025 game between FC Ulaanbaatar and Brera Ilch finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
FC Ulaanbaatar
15%
Draws
16%
Brera Ilch
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Ulaanbaatar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Brera Ilch haven't matched FC Ulaanbaatar's recent run of results.
  • FC Ulaanbaatar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • FC Ulaanbaatar have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
FC Ulaanbaatar Clean Sheet 20%
Brera Ilch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Ulaanbaatar Brera Ilch
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 22 5
Draws 5 4
Losses 4 21
Goals Scored 3.58 1.67
Goals Conceded 0.84 2.7
Expected Goals (xG) 2.42 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2025 Premier League
FC Ulaanbaatar vs Brera Ilch
0:0
Apr 6, 2025 Premier League
Brera Ilch vs FC Ulaanbaatar
1:5
Sep 21, 2024 Premier League
FC Ulaanbaatar vs Brera Ilch
1:0
May 18, 2024 Premier League
FC Ulaanbaatar vs Brera Ilch
4:2
Mar 30, 2024 Premier League
Brera Ilch vs FC Ulaanbaatar
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Ulaanbaatar 85 / 100
Brera Ilch 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Ulaanbaatar Brera Ilch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Ulaanbaatar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Ulaanbaatar scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Brera Ilch's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Recent resilience: FC Ulaanbaatar stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Ulaanbaatar VS -
3.63 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Ulaanbaatar

(Home)
05 Oct
FC Ulaanbaatar
8 : 0
Ulaangom City FC
30 Sept
Khovd
0 : 4
FC Ulaanbaatar
27 Sept
FC Ulaanbaatar
5 : 3
Hunters
20 Sept
Amtat FC
0 : 9
FC Ulaanbaatar
17 Sept
Deren
0 : 0
FC Ulaanbaatar
Page 1 of 7

Brera Ilch

(Away)
19 Jul
Central Stallions
4 : 1
Brera Ilch
15 Jul
Brera Ilch
1 : 4
Khovd
09 Jul
Khaan Khuns-Erchim
3 : 5
Brera Ilch
06 Jul
Khangarid
3 : 1
Brera Ilch
01 Jul
Brera Ilch
0 : 1
Hunters
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Falcons 27 21 4 2 104:19 67
2 Khangarid 27 18 3 6 66:32 57
3 FC Ulaanbaatar 27 15 6 6 65:40 51
4 Deren 27 15 5 7 83:30 50
5 Khoromkhon 27 11 1 15 58:89 34
6 Khovd 27 9 5 13 72:61 32
7 Hunters 27 8 5 14 38:49 29
8 Khaan Khuns-Erchim 27 7 6 14 54:64 27
9 Central Stallions 27 7 1 19 31:156 22
10 Brera Ilch 27 4 4 19 43:74 16
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)