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FC Ulaanbaatar vs Khaan Khuns-Erchim - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mongolia Mongolia

Premier League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Tuguldur G.
74' Event
Mijiddorj O.
90' Event
Mijiddorj O.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

FC Ulaanbaatar in this Premier League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Ulaanbaatar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
FC Ulaanbaatar
15%
Draws
27%
Khaan Khuns-Erchim
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Ulaanbaatar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Ulaanbaatar lately — more wins on the board than Khaan Khuns-Erchim.
  • Model gives FC Ulaanbaatar a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
FC Ulaanbaatar Clean Sheet 20%
Khaan Khuns-Erchim Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Ulaanbaatar Khaan Khuns-Erchim
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 22 7
Draws 4 5
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 3.61 1.46
Goals Conceded 0.94 2.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2025 Premier League
Khaan Khuns-Erchim vs FC Ulaanbaatar
0:3
Apr 13, 2025 Premier League
FC Ulaanbaatar vs Khaan Khuns-Erchim
2:1
Sep 26, 2024 Premier League
Khaan Khuns-Erchim vs FC Ulaanbaatar
3:2
Jun 30, 2024 Premier League
FC Ulaanbaatar vs Khaan Khuns-Erchim
2:3
Apr 28, 2024 Premier League
Khaan Khuns-Erchim vs FC Ulaanbaatar
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Ulaanbaatar Compare

Top Goalscorer Mijiddorj O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Khaan Khuns-Erchim Compare

Top Goalscorer Tuguldur G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Ulaanbaatar 85 / 100
Khaan Khuns-Erchim 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Ulaanbaatar Khaan Khuns-Erchim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Ulaanbaatar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Ulaanbaatar's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: FC Ulaanbaatar stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Khaan Khuns-Erchim conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

FC Ulaanbaatar VS Khaan Khuns-Erchim
2.13 Goals Scored 1.14
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.29
88% Over 1.5 57%
75% Over 2.5 57%
50% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Ulaanbaatar

(Home)
05 Oct
FC Ulaanbaatar
8 : 0
Ulaangom City FC
30 Sept
Khovd
0 : 4
FC Ulaanbaatar
27 Sept
FC Ulaanbaatar
5 : 3
Hunters
20 Sept
Amtat FC
0 : 9
FC Ulaanbaatar
17 Sept
Deren
0 : 0
FC Ulaanbaatar
Page 1 of 7

Khaan Khuns-Erchim

(Away)
01 Oct
Khaan Khuns-Erchim
1 : 4
Central Stallions
26 Sept
Khaan Khuns-Erchim
2 : 8
Khovd
21 Sept
Khovd Western
2 : 3
Khaan Khuns-Erchim
16 Sept
Khaan Khuns-Erchim
1 : 2
Amtat FC
13 Sept
Ulaangom City FC
0 : 1
Khaan Khuns-Erchim
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Falcons 27 21 4 2 104:19 67
2 Khangarid 27 18 3 6 66:32 57
3 FC Ulaanbaatar 27 15 6 6 65:40 51
4 Deren 27 15 5 7 83:30 50
5 Khoromkhon 27 11 1 15 58:89 34
6 Khovd 27 9 5 13 72:61 32
7 Hunters 27 8 5 14 38:49 29
8 Khaan Khuns-Erchim 27 7 6 14 54:64 27
9 Central Stallions 27 7 1 19 31:156 22
10 Brera Ilch 27 4 4 19 43:74 16
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)