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FC Ulaanbaatar vs Khangarid

Mongolia Mongolia

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Daginaa T.
54' Event
Khurelbaataryn T.
69' Event
Suzuki A.

AI Match Summary

FC Ulaanbaatar in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Ulaanbaatar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
FC Ulaanbaatar
20%
Draws
10%
Khangarid
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Ulaanbaatar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • FC Ulaanbaatar have won more games recently than Khangarid.
  • Win probability leans FC Ulaanbaatar's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors FC Ulaanbaatar here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
FC Ulaanbaatar Clean Sheet 15%
Khangarid Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Ulaanbaatar Khangarid
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 20 15
Draws 4 4
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 3.46 3
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Premier League
Khangarid vs FC Ulaanbaatar
3:4
Jun 24, 2026 Premier League
FC Ulaanbaatar vs Khangarid
3:1
May 17, 2026 Premier League
FC Ulaanbaatar vs Khangarid
3:1
Oct 14, 2025 Premier League
Khangarid vs FC Ulaanbaatar
1:3
Jun 19, 2025 Premier League
Khangarid vs FC Ulaanbaatar
6:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Ulaanbaatar Compare

Top Goalscorer Daginaa T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Khurelbaataryn T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Khangarid Compare

Top Goalscorer Matsumoto R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Ulaanbaatar 84 / 100
Khangarid 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Ulaanbaatar Khangarid

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Ulaanbaatar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Ulaanbaatar scored in 93% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 5.40 goals as a typical output.

Khangarid let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: FC Ulaanbaatar remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Ulaanbaatar VS Khangarid
2.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Ulaanbaatar

(Home)
20 Sept
Amtat FC
0 : 9
FC Ulaanbaatar
17 Sept
Deren
0 : 0
FC Ulaanbaatar
11 Aug
FC Ulaanbaatar
1 : 2
Hang Yuen
06 Jul
FC Ulaanbaatar
2 : 3
Deren
03 Jul
Khangarid
3 : 4
FC Ulaanbaatar
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Khangarid

(Away)
06 Jul
Khangarid
0 : 1
Central Stallions
03 Jul
Khangarid
3 : 4
FC Ulaanbaatar
30 Jun
Deren
2 : 1
Khangarid
27 Jun
Central Stallions
2 : 2
Khangarid
24 Jun
FC Ulaanbaatar
3 : 1
Khangarid
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Ulaanbaatar 23 17 3 3 82:20 54
2 Central Stallions 23 14 5 4 60:26 47
3 Deren 23 14 3 6 70:25 45
4 Khangarid 22 10 4 8 68:34 34
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)