Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 5 2011/2012

Balaguer

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FC Vilafranca play Balaguer in the Tercera Division - Group 5 2011/2012. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC Vilafranca averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. Balaguer averaged 1 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. In past meetings, FC Vilafranca won 3, Balaguer won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 3, 2013 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for FC Vilafranca and 1.56 for Balaguer. This points to a FC Vilafranca double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

FC Vilafranca

29%

Draws

24%

Balaguer

Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: FC Vilafranca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence

FC Vilafranca picked up more points recently compared to Balaguer.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.56 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 50%

Over 3.5 Goals 30%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%

FC Vilafranca Clean Sheet 15%

Balaguer Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FC Vilafranca	Balaguer
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	8	3
Draws	9	11
Losses	14	16
Goals Scored	1.1	1
Goals Conceded	1.52	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

Balaguer vs FC Vilafranca

Possession: 54% - 54% Cards: 1 - 3

1:4

Oct 21, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

FC Vilafranca vs Balaguer

Possession: 41% - 56% Cards: 1 - 3

1:0

Jan 22, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

FC Vilafranca vs Balaguer

Possession: 48% - 46% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Sep 4, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

Balaguer vs FC Vilafranca

Possession: 43% - 43% Cards: 3 - 1

2:0

Feb 6, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

Balaguer vs FC Vilafranca

Possession: 53% - 41% Cards: 3 - 3

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Vilafranca 45 / 100

Balaguer 24 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FC Vilafranca Balaguer

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC Vilafranca or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20.3%

2.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.5%

2.27

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Vilafranca attacking → ← attacking Balaguer

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Vilafranca scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Balaguer let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

FC Vilafranca went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Balaguer lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 20

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Prat	38	22	9	7	57:27	75
2	Espanyol B	38	19	13	6	68:30	70
3	Manlleu AEC	38	18	11	9	73:48	65
4	Pobla Mafumet	38	18	10	10	52:27	64
5	Cornella	38	16	14	8	52:35	62
6	Santboia	38	16	10	12	47:43	58
7	Terrassa	38	16	10	12	57:55	58
8	FC Vilafranca	38	15	8	15	51:61	53
9	Gava	38	14	11	13	49:50	53
10	Olot	38	13	12	13	53:54	51
11	UE Rubi	38	14	8	16	61:54	50
12	Balaguer	38	13	10	15	36:52	49
13	UE Castelldefels	38	13	10	15	43:47	49
14	UE Vic	38	12	11	15	44:50	47
15	Montanesa	38	11	14	13	42:54	47
16	CE Europa	38	12	10	16	38:46	46
17	Gramenet	38	11	10	17	45:52	43
18	CF Vilanova	38	10	11	17	44:58	41
19	Amposta	38	8	7	23	52:85	31
20	CD Masnou	38	5	9	24	32:68	24