Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Vilafranca vs Peralada

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Toro A.
36' Event
Toro D.
65' Event
Frutos A.

AI Match Summary

FC Vilafranca in this Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Vilafranca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
FC Vilafranca
30%
Draws
47%
Peralada
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Peralada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Peralada have won more games recently than FC Vilafranca.
  • Win probability leans Peralada's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
FC Vilafranca Clean Sheet 23%
Peralada Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Vilafranca Peralada
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 9 11
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
FC Vilafranca vs Peralada
3:0
Oct 29, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Peralada vs FC Vilafranca
3:0
Mar 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
FC Vilafranca vs Peralada
2:1
Nov 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Peralada vs FC Vilafranca
3:2
Apr 10, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
FC Vilafranca vs Peralada
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Vilafranca Compare

Top Goalscorer Toro A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Toro D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Peralada Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Vilafranca 10 / 100
Peralada 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Vilafranca Peralada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Peralada Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

FC Vilafranca scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Peralada's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Solid form: FC Vilafranca remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Peralada
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Vilafranca

(Home)
28 Aug
FC Vilafranca
2 : 1
Prat
11 May
Prat
3 : 0
FC Vilafranca
05 May
FC Vilafranca
1 : 2
Olot
01 May
Mollerussa
2 : 2
FC Vilafranca
27 Apr
FC Vilafranca
0 : 2
L Hospitalet
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Peralada

(Away)
27 Sept
Peralada
3 : 0
CE Atletic Lleida
19 Sept
CF Vilanova
1 : 1
Peralada
13 Sept
Peralada
0 : 1
UE Tona
06 Sept
San Cristobal CP
1 : 1
Peralada
10 May
Peralada
5 : 0
Montanesa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olot 34 24 7 3 55:20 79
2 L Hospitalet 34 22 3 9 56:28 69
3 Vilassar de Mar 34 17 9 8 41:27 60
4 CF Badalona 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
5 Prat 34 13 12 9 39:30 51
6 UE Tona 34 13 9 12 48:45 48
7 FC Lescala 34 14 6 14 57:59 48
8 Reus FC Reddis 34 12 10 12 31:28 46
9 Montanesa 34 13 7 14 32:39 46
10 FE Grama 34 13 6 15 41:47 45
11 Girona B 34 11 11 12 49:40 44
12 Mollerussa 34 12 7 15 33:46 43
13 San Cristobal CP 34 13 4 17 35:54 43
14 Peralada 34 11 9 14 34:34 42
15 Pobla Mafumet 34 10 8 16 31:39 38
16 FC Vilafranca 34 8 9 17 31:53 33
17 UE Castelldefels 34 7 9 18 30:47 30
18 UE Rapitenca 34 9 3 22 36:51 30
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 (Play Offs)