Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024

Prat

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FC Vilafranca play Prat in the Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC Vilafranca averaged 1 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. Prat averaged 0.85 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. In past meetings, FC Vilafranca won 1, Prat won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 28, 2024 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for FC Vilafranca and 1.18 for Prat. This points to a FC Vilafranca double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%

FC Vilafranca

27%

Draws

29%

Prat

Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: FC Vilafranca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

FC Vilafranca picked up more points recently compared to Prat.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.18 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 72%

Over 2.5 Goals 49%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%

FC Vilafranca Clean Sheet 20%

Prat Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 65%

Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FC Vilafranca	Prat
Matches Played	30	33
Wins	7	3
Draws	9	10
Losses	14	20
Goals Scored	1	0.85
Goals Conceded	1.53	1.73

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2024 Club Friendly

FC Vilafranca vs Prat

Possession: 43% - 41% Cards: 4 - 4

2:1

May 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

Prat vs FC Vilafranca

Possession: 59% - 42% Cards: 2 - 2

3:0

Jan 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

FC Vilafranca vs Prat

Possession: 47% - 41% Cards: 2 - 2

1:1

Aug 10, 2022 Club Friendly

FC Vilafranca vs Prat

Possession: 60% - 52% Cards: 3 - 3

1:2

Aug 15, 2021 Club Friendly

Prat vs FC Vilafranca

Possession: 41% - 41% Cards: 2 - 2

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Vilafranca Compare

Top Goalscorer Toro D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Prat Compare

Top Goalscorer Sugranyes I.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Vilafranca 44 / 100

Prat 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FC Vilafranca Prat

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC Vilafranca or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +22.3%

2.78

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.33

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Vilafranca attacking → ← attacking Prat

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Vilafranca scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Prat let in goals in 85% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

FC Vilafranca went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Prat lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 19

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Olot	34	24	7	3	55:20	79
2	L Hospitalet	34	22	3	9	56:28	69
3	Vilassar de Mar	34	17	9	8	41:27	60
4	CF Badalona	34	16	7	11	44:36	55
5	Prat	34	13	12	9	39:30	51
6	UE Tona	34	13	9	12	48:45	48
7	FC Lescala	34	14	6	14	57:59	48
8	Reus FC Reddis	34	12	10	12	31:28	46
9	Montanesa	34	13	7	14	32:39	46
10	FE Grama	34	13	6	15	41:47	45
11	Girona B	34	11	11	12	49:40	44
12	Mollerussa	34	12	7	15	33:46	43
13	San Cristobal CP	34	13	4	17	35:54	43
14	Peralada	34	11	9	14	34:34	42
15	Pobla Mafumet	34	10	8	16	31:39	38
16	FC Vilafranca	34	8	9	17	31:53	33
17	UE Castelldefels	34	7	9	18	30:47	30
18	UE Rapitenca	34	9	3	22	36:51	30