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FC Vilafranca vs Prat Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Toro D.
32' Event
Sugranyes I.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 game between FC Vilafranca and Prat finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
FC Vilafranca
20%
Draws
40%
Prat
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Vilafranca come out ahead of Prat on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans FC Vilafranca's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
FC Vilafranca Clean Sheet 68%
Prat Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Vilafranca Prat
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 4
Draws 9 9
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 1 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2024 Club Friendly
FC Vilafranca vs Prat
2:1
May 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Prat vs FC Vilafranca
3:0
Jan 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
FC Vilafranca vs Prat
1:1
Aug 10, 2022 Club Friendly
FC Vilafranca vs Prat
1:2
Aug 15, 2021 Club Friendly
Prat vs FC Vilafranca
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Vilafranca Compare

Top Goalscorer Toro D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Prat Compare

Top Goalscorer Sugranyes I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Vilafranca 77 / 100
Prat 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Vilafranca Prat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Vilafranca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Prat's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

FC Vilafranca found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Away concern: Prat has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Prat
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Vilafranca

(Home)
28 Aug
FC Vilafranca
2 : 1
Prat
11 May
Prat
3 : 0
FC Vilafranca
05 May
FC Vilafranca
1 : 2
Olot
01 May
Mollerussa
2 : 2
FC Vilafranca
27 Apr
FC Vilafranca
0 : 2
L Hospitalet
Page 1 of 6

Prat

(Away)
27 Sept
El Espinar Sant Rafel
1 : 5
Prat
10 May
CE Atletic Lleida
6 : 0
Prat
04 May
Prat
2 : 2
Peralada
27 Apr
Mollerussa
5 : 0
Prat
18 Apr
Prat
0 : 2
L Hospitalet
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olot 34 24 7 3 55:20 79
2 L Hospitalet 34 22 3 9 56:28 69
3 Vilassar de Mar 34 17 9 8 41:27 60
4 CF Badalona 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
5 Prat 34 13 12 9 39:30 51
6 UE Tona 34 13 9 12 48:45 48
7 FC Lescala 34 14 6 14 57:59 48
8 Reus FC Reddis 34 12 10 12 31:28 46
9 Montanesa 34 13 7 14 32:39 46
10 FE Grama 34 13 6 15 41:47 45
11 Girona B 34 11 11 12 49:40 44
12 Mollerussa 34 12 7 15 33:46 43
13 San Cristobal CP 34 13 4 17 35:54 43
14 Peralada 34 11 9 14 34:34 42
15 Pobla Mafumet 34 10 8 16 31:39 38
16 FC Vilafranca 34 8 9 17 31:53 33
17 UE Castelldefels 34 7 9 18 30:47 30
18 UE Rapitenca 34 9 3 22 36:51 30
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 (Play Offs)