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FC Vilafranca vs Sabadell B

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Tercera Division - Group 5 2016/2017
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 5 2016/2017 game between FC Vilafranca and Sabadell B finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Vilafranca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
FC Vilafranca
15%
Draws
36%
Sabadell B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Vilafranca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Vilafranca come out ahead of Sabadell B on wins alone.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on FC Vilafranca taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 5 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
FC Vilafranca Clean Sheet 20%
Sabadell B Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Vilafranca Sabadell B
Matches Played 40 34
Wins 11 8
Draws 13 8
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 0.95 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
FC Vilafranca vs Sabadell B
4:0
Nov 6, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Sabadell B vs FC Vilafranca
1:0
Apr 24, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
FC Vilafranca vs Sabadell B
4:3
Nov 29, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Sabadell B vs FC Vilafranca
2:1
May 17, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
FC Vilafranca vs Sabadell B
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Vilafranca 58 / 100
Sabadell B 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Vilafranca Sabadell B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Vilafranca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

FC Vilafranca scored in 63% of their last 40 games.

Sabadell B let in goals in 79% of their last 34 matches.

Difficult form: Sabadell B registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sabadell B
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Vilafranca

(Home)
28 Aug
FC Vilafranca
2 : 1
Prat
11 May
Prat
3 : 0
FC Vilafranca
05 May
FC Vilafranca
1 : 2
Olot
01 May
Mollerussa
2 : 2
FC Vilafranca
27 Apr
FC Vilafranca
0 : 2
L Hospitalet
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Sabadell B

(Away)
10 May
FC Lescala
3 : 1
Sabadell B
04 May
Sabadell B
1 : 4
CF Badalona
26 Apr
UE Tona
2 : 1
Sabadell B
18 Apr
Sabadell B
0 : 2
Cerdanyola del Valles
13 Apr
Reus FC Reddis
1 : 2
Sabadell B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olot 38 24 8 6 73:38 80
2 Peralada 38 24 5 9 68:27 77
3 Terrassa 38 19 9 10 48:26 66
4 FC Vilafranca 38 18 10 10 60:37 64
5 Sant Andreu 38 16 12 10 51:40 60
6 FC Asco 38 15 12 11 44:37 57
7 Pobla Mafumet 38 12 19 7 43:36 55
8 Granollers 38 14 8 16 47:54 50
9 UE Figueres 38 12 14 12 39:41 50
10 Vilassar de Mar 38 13 11 14 40:44 50
11 Palamos CF 38 13 10 15 49:55 49
12 CE Europa 38 11 14 13 28:32 47
13 Santfeliuenc 38 11 12 15 39:44 45
14 Cerdanyola del Valles 38 11 12 15 43:51 45
15 UE Castelldefels 38 11 9 18 34:51 42
16 La Jonquera 38 10 12 16 19:29 42
17 Montanesa 38 11 9 18 32:48 42
18 Manlleu AEC 38 8 16 14 41:59 40
19 Jupiter 38 7 14 17 32:52 35
20 Sabadell B 38 7 10 21 34:63 31
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)