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FC Vilafranca vs UE Tona

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Vilafranca play UE Tona in the Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC Vilafranca averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. UE Tona averaged 1.38 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. In past meetings, FC Vilafranca won 1, UE Tona won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 11, 2024 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for FC Vilafranca and 1.24 for UE Tona. This points to a UE Tona double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
FC Vilafranca
44%
Draws
20%
UE Tona
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • UE Tona has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to FC Vilafranca.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
FC Vilafranca Clean Sheet 19%
UE Tona Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Vilafranca UE Tona
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 8
Draws 9 14
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 0 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
FC Vilafranca vs UE Tona
0:0
Sep 24, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Tona vs FC Vilafranca
3:0
Feb 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
FC Vilafranca vs UE Tona
2:3
Oct 23, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Tona vs FC Vilafranca
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Vilafranca 36 / 100
UE Tona 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Vilafranca UE Tona

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Vilafranca scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

UE Tona let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

FC Vilafranca went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

UE Tona lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS UE Tona
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olot34247355:2079
2L Hospitalet34223956:2869
3Vilassar de Mar34179841:2760
4CF Badalona341671144:3655
5Prat341312939:3051
6UE Tona341391248:4548
7FC Lescala341461457:5948
8Reus FC Reddis3412101231:2846
9Montanesa341371432:3946
10FE Grama341361541:4745
11Girona B3411111249:4044
12Mollerussa341271533:4643
13San Cristobal CP341341735:5443
14Peralada341191434:3442
15Pobla Mafumet341081631:3938
16FC Vilafranca34891731:5333
17UE Castelldefels34791830:4730
18UE Rapitenca34932236:5130