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FC Villa Clara vs Mayabeque Guines

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional
Sat, Jun 7, 2025
3 - 0
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Villa Clara host Mayabeque Guines in the Liga Nacional. FC Villa Clara go into this one as the clear favorite. Mayabeque Guines have shipped 2.18 goals a game lately, while FC Villa Clara have conceded 1.63 and scored 1.47. Head-to-head, FC Villa Clara have won 3 to Mayabeque Guines's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Jun 7, 2025, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.63 - 0.76) back FC Villa Clara to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
FC Villa Clara
20%
Draws
19%
Mayabeque Guines
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Villa Clara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • FC Villa Clara have won more games recently than Mayabeque Guines.
  • Win probability leans FC Villa Clara's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
FC Villa Clara Clean Sheet 20%
Mayabeque Guines Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Villa Clara Mayabeque Guines
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 13 3
Draws 8 4
Losses 11 21
Goals Scored 1.47 0.61
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Villa Clara vs Mayabeque Guines
3:0
May 10, 2025 Liga Nacional
Mayabeque Guines vs FC Villa Clara
0:2
Apr 12, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Villa Clara vs Mayabeque Guines
4:1
Mar 15, 2025 Liga Nacional
Mayabeque Guines vs FC Villa Clara
1:1
Feb 3, 2024 Liga Nacional
Mayabeque Guines vs FC Villa Clara
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Villa Clara 85 / 100
Mayabeque Guines 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Villa Clara Mayabeque Guines

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Villa Clara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mayabeque Guines has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

FC Villa Clara went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

FC Villa Clara found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

FC Villa Clara VS Mayabeque Guines
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Villa Clara

(Home)
09 Jul
FC Villa Clara
1 : 1
Artemisa
05 Jul
Artemisa
2 : 3
FC Villa Clara
14 Jun
FC Cienfuegos
0 : 1
FC Villa Clara
07 Jun
FC Villa Clara
3 : 0
Mayabeque Guines
24 May
FC Villa Clara
1 : 0
Matanzas
Page 1 of 7

Mayabeque Guines

(Away)
14 Jun
Mayabeque Guines
3 : 0
Matanzas
07 Jun
FC Villa Clara
3 : 0
Mayabeque Guines
24 May
Mayabeque Guines
0 : 3
FC Cienfuegos
17 May
FC Cienfuegos
2 : 2
Mayabeque Guines
10 May
Mayabeque Guines
0 : 2
FC Villa Clara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC La Habana 11 7 3 1 21:12 24
2 Artemisa 12 4 4 4 18:19 16
3 Isla de La Juventud 11 3 2 6 10:16 11
4 Pinar del Rio 10 2 3 5 11:13 9
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Cienfuegos 12 6 4 2 20:11 22
2 FC Villa Clara 12 6 4 2 16:7 22
3 Matanzas 12 3 3 6 10:13 12
4 Mayabeque Guines 12 2 3 7 11:26 9
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Las Tunas 12 7 1 4 20:13 22
2 FC Ciego de Avila 12 6 2 4 16:9 20
3 FC Camaguey 11 5 2 4 17:14 17
4 FC Sancti Spiritus 11 1 3 7 3:20 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Guantanamo 12 8 3 1 25:6 27
2 FC Santiago de Cuba 11 4 3 4 12:11 15
3 FC Holguin 12 3 4 5 12:19 13
4 CF Granma 11 2 2 7 9:22 8
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)