Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Zugdidi vs FC Rustavi

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2022
Fri, Nov 25, 2022
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Zugdidi host FC Rustavi in the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2022. This one's hard to separate. FC Zugdidi have averaged 1.86 scored and 1.57 conceded recently, against FC Rustavi's 1.32 scored and 0.97 conceded. Past meetings favor FC Zugdidi slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 25, 2022, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.04 - 1.11) back FC Rustavi to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
FC Zugdidi
30%
Draws
51%
FC Rustavi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Rustavi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Rustavi have won more games recently than FC Zugdidi.
  • Model gives FC Rustavi a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
FC Zugdidi Clean Sheet 20%
FC Rustavi Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Zugdidi FC Rustavi
Matches Played 7 31
Wins 2 16
Draws 2 6
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 1.86 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.57 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 25, 2022 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Zugdidi vs FC Rustavi
0:0
Sep 29, 2022 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Rustavi vs FC Zugdidi
0:0
Jun 28, 2022 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Zugdidi vs FC Rustavi
0:0
Apr 21, 2022 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Rustavi vs FC Zugdidi
2:1
Nov 27, 2021 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Zugdidi vs FC Rustavi
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Zugdidi 12 / 100
FC Rustavi 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Zugdidi FC Rustavi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Rustavi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Rustavi has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

FC Zugdidi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: FC Zugdidi scored in 57% of their last 7 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS FC Rustavi
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Zugdidi

(Home)
22 May
WIT Georgia
3 : 3
FC Zugdidi
16 May
FC Zugdidi
0 : 0
Shevardeni Tbilisi
10 May
Merani Tbilisi
3 : 0
FC Zugdidi
05 May
FC Zugdidi
4 : 0
FC Gareji Sagarejo
29 Apr
FC Zugdidi
0 : 1
Merani Martvili
Page 1 of 2

FC Rustavi

(Away)
30 Aug
Samgurali
1 : 1
FC Rustavi
22 Aug
FC Rustavi
3 : 0
Gagra
15 Aug
Dinamo Tbilisi
0 : 3
FC Rustavi
07 Aug
FC Rustavi
1 : 0
Torpedo Kutaisi
01 Aug
FC Rustavi
3 : 1
Spaeri
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shukura 28 19 3 6 52:23 60
2 Spaeri 28 15 6 7 57:35 51
3 Samtredia 28 14 6 8 43:28 48
4 Merani Martvili 28 12 6 10 55:53 42
5 FC Gareji Sagarejo 28 10 6 12 38:36 36
6 Merani Tbilisi 28 10 4 14 34:56 34
7 FC Rustavi 28 6 5 17 34:54 23
8 WIT Georgia 28 5 6 17 30:58 21
9 FC Zugdidi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Shevardeni Tbilisi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2023 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2022 (Relegation)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2022 (Relegation)