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FC Zugdidi vs Merani Tbilisi

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2022
Sun, Aug 21, 2022
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Zugdidi host Merani Tbilisi in the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2022. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: FC Zugdidi at 1.86 goals for, 1.57 against; Merani Tbilisi at 1.52 for, 1.52 against. Past meetings favor FC Zugdidi slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 14, 2022, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.97 vs 1.36, favoring Merani Tbilisi. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
FC Zugdidi
30%
Draws
51%
Merani Tbilisi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Merani Tbilisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Zugdidi haven't matched Merani Tbilisi's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Merani Tbilisi taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
FC Zugdidi Clean Sheet 18%
Merani Tbilisi Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Zugdidi Merani Tbilisi
Matches Played 7 31
Wins 2 13
Draws 2 8
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 1.86 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2022 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Merani Tbilisi vs FC Zugdidi
0:0
Aug 21, 2022 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Zugdidi vs Merani Tbilisi
0:0
May 10, 2022 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Merani Tbilisi vs FC Zugdidi
3:0
Mar 7, 2022 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Zugdidi vs Merani Tbilisi
1:0
Nov 21, 2021 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Merani Tbilisi vs FC Zugdidi
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Zugdidi 28 / 100
Merani Tbilisi 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Zugdidi Merani Tbilisi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merani Tbilisi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merani Tbilisi let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Recent resilience: FC Zugdidi stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

FC Zugdidi's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 7 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Merani Tbilisi
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Zugdidi

(Home)
22 May
WIT Georgia
3 : 3
FC Zugdidi
16 May
FC Zugdidi
0 : 0
Shevardeni Tbilisi
10 May
Merani Tbilisi
3 : 0
FC Zugdidi
05 May
FC Zugdidi
4 : 0
FC Gareji Sagarejo
29 Apr
FC Zugdidi
0 : 1
Merani Martvili
Page 1 of 2

Merani Tbilisi

(Away)
17 Sept
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
2 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
10 Sept
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1
Khobi
03 Sept
Margveti 2006
0 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
27 Aug
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1
FC Gardabani
20 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shukura 28 19 3 6 52:23 60
2 Spaeri 28 15 6 7 57:35 51
3 Samtredia 28 14 6 8 43:28 48
4 Merani Martvili 28 12 6 10 55:53 42
5 FC Gareji Sagarejo 28 10 6 12 38:36 36
6 Merani Tbilisi 28 10 4 14 34:56 34
7 FC Rustavi 28 6 5 17 34:54 23
8 WIT Georgia 28 5 6 17 30:58 21
9 FC Zugdidi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Shevardeni Tbilisi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2023 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2022 (Relegation)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2022 (Relegation)