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FCI Tallinn II vs Kuressaare

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga 2017
Our Tip

Match Events

42'
Eensalu M.
46'
Sub
Makarov N. In: Leontjev K.
Out: Makarov N.
57'
Sub
Koppel T. In: Suursaar M.
Out: Koppel T.

AI Match Summary

Kuressaare in this Esiliiga 2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kuressaare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
FCI Tallinn II
33%
Draws
27%
Kuressaare
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: FCI Tallinn II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • FCI Tallinn II have won more games recently than Kuressaare.
  • Model gives FCI Tallinn II a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
FCI Tallinn II Clean Sheet 20%
Kuressaare Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FCI Tallinn II Kuressaare
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 10
Draws 3 5
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2017 Esiliiga
Kuressaare vs FCI Tallinn II
2:6
Aug 27, 2017 Esiliiga
FCI Tallinn II vs Kuressaare
1:3
Jul 3, 2017 Esiliiga
FCI Tallinn II vs Kuressaare
3:3
Mar 12, 2017 Esiliiga
Kuressaare vs FCI Tallinn II
5:0
Sep 26, 2015 Esiliiga
Kuressaare vs FCI Tallinn II
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FCI Tallinn II Compare

Top Goalscorer Mones A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Kuressaare Compare

Top Goalscorer Stern M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Viira S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FCI Tallinn II 40 / 100
Kuressaare 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FCI Tallinn II Kuressaare

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick INF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kuressaare let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.20 goals when they meet.

FCI Tallinn II scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Kuressaare lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kuressaare
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maardu Linnameeskond36245792:4477
2Tallinna Kalev362421095:4474
3Flora Tallinn U21362141175:4267
4Rakvere362141166:5767
5Kuressaare361741570:6355
6Levadia U21361361756:6045
7FCI Tallinn II361341960:8543
8Santos Tartu361341975:7443
9Elva36922540:9029
10Tartu JK Welco36472530:10019