Sport Picks

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FCM Ungheni vs Floresti

Moldova Moldova

Liga 1 2025/2026
FCM Ungheni Logo

FCM Ungheni

1 - 1
FT
Floresti Logo

Floresti

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
FCM Ungheni
20%
Draws
33%
Floresti
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FCM Ungheni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Floresti haven't matched FCM Ungheni's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans FCM Ungheni's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
FCM Ungheni Clean Sheet 13%
Floresti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FCM Ungheni Floresti
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 13
Draws 5 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 2.72 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.94 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Super Liga
Floresti vs FCM Ungheni
5:4
Nov 21, 2025 Liga 1
FCM Ungheni vs Floresti
1:1
Oct 3, 2025 Liga 1
Floresti vs FCM Ungheni
1:0
Aug 22, 2025 Liga 1
FCM Ungheni vs Floresti
2:3
Mar 1, 2025 Moldovan Cup
Floresti vs FCM Ungheni
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FCM Ungheni 84 / 100
Floresti 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FCM Ungheni Floresti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCM Ungheni Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FCM Ungheni's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Floresti has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

FCM Ungheni has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FCM Ungheni VS Floresti
3 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FCM Ungheni

(Home)
18 Sept
Univer Comrat
1 : 1
FCM Ungheni
12 Sept
FCM Ungheni
5 : 2
Sparta Selemet
05 Sept
Vulturii Cutezatori
3 : 4
FCM Ungheni
02 Sept
FCM Ungheni
9 : 0
Olimp Comrat
28 Aug
FCM Ungheni
2 : 3
Iskra Ribnita
Page 1 of 7

Floresti

(Away)
01 Sept
Floresti
0 : 3
Edinet
27 May
Real Sireti
1 : 0
Floresti
20 May
Sparta Selemet
1 : 4
Floresti
16 May
Floresti
5 : 4
FCM Ungheni
09 May
Floresti
1 : 1
Politehnica UTM
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stauceni 15 12 2 1 45:12 38
2 Real Sireti 15 11 2 2 52:20 35
3 Univer Comrat 15 9 0 6 33:25 27
4 Sheriff Tiraspol 2 15 4 3 8 18:27 15
5 Olimp Comrat 15 3 1 11 14:44 10
6 Falesti 15 1 2 12 15:49 5
Promotion - Super Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Floresti 15 9 4 2 43:13 31
2 Zimbru Chisinau 2 15 8 3 4 30:25 27
3 Iskra Ribnita 15 8 3 4 29:29 27
4 FCM Ungheni 15 7 3 5 30:22 24
5 Oguzsport 15 2 4 9 17:28 10
6 Victoria 15 2 1 12 17:49 7
Promotion - Super Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)