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FCM Ungheni vs Iskra Ribnita - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Moldova Moldova

Liga 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Iskra Ribnita in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Iskra Ribnita.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
FCM Ungheni
15%
Draws
46%
Iskra Ribnita
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Iskra Ribnita

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Iskra Ribnita have won more games recently than FCM Ungheni.
  • FCM Ungheni are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
FCM Ungheni Clean Sheet 10%
Iskra Ribnita Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FCM Ungheni Iskra Ribnita
Matches Played 33 35
Wins 17 18
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 2.73 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.94 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Liga 1
FCM Ungheni vs Iskra Ribnita
2:3
Oct 17, 2025 Liga 1
Iskra Ribnita vs FCM Ungheni
1:0
Aug 29, 2025 Liga 1
FCM Ungheni vs Iskra Ribnita
3:1
Jul 25, 2025 Liga 1
Iskra Ribnita vs FCM Ungheni
2:1
Mar 28, 2025 Liga 1
FCM Ungheni vs Iskra Ribnita
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FCM Ungheni 74 / 100
Iskra Ribnita 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FCM Ungheni Iskra Ribnita

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCM Ungheni Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FCM Ungheni scored in 85% of their last 33 games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Iskra Ribnita let in goals in 69% of their last 35 matches.

Recent resilience: FCM Ungheni stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FCM Ungheni VS Iskra Ribnita
3.25 Goals Scored 3
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FCM Ungheni

(Home)
18 Sept
Univer Comrat
1 : 1
FCM Ungheni
12 Sept
FCM Ungheni
5 : 2
Sparta Selemet
05 Sept
Vulturii Cutezatori
3 : 4
FCM Ungheni
02 Sept
FCM Ungheni
9 : 0
Olimp Comrat
28 Aug
FCM Ungheni
2 : 3
Iskra Ribnita
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Iskra Ribnita

(Away)
18 Sept
Iskra Ribnita
2 : 0
Zimbru Chisinau 2
11 Sept
Vulturii Cutezatori
2 : 1
Iskra Ribnita
05 Sept
Iskra Ribnita
1 : 0
Univer Comrat
02 Sept
Iskra Ribnita
4 : 1
Tarigrad
28 Aug
FCM Ungheni
2 : 3
Iskra Ribnita
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vulturii Cutezatori 8 6 1 1 27:14 19
2 Iskra Ribnita 8 6 0 2 22:8 18
3 FCM Ungheni 8 4 2 2 23:16 14
4 Univer Comrat 8 2 3 3 17:17 9
5 Zimbru Chisinau 2 8 2 1 5 14:20 7
6 Sparta Selemet 8 0 1 7 10:38 1
Promotion - Super Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oguzsport 7 4 2 1 8:3 14
2 Stauceni 6 3 1 2 10:7 10
3 National Ialoveni 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
4 Falesti 6 2 1 3 4:6 7
5 Victoria 7 2 1 4 7:12 7
Promotion - Super Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 (Relegation Group)