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FCM Ungheni vs Sheriff Tiraspol 2

Moldova Moldova

Liga 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 2025/2026 game between FCM Ungheni and Sheriff Tiraspol 2 finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FCM Ungheni.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
FCM Ungheni
30%
Draws
23%
Sheriff Tiraspol 2
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FCM Ungheni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • FCM Ungheni carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans FCM Ungheni's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 54%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
FCM Ungheni Clean Sheet 11%
Sheriff Tiraspol 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FCM Ungheni Sheriff Tiraspol 2
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 2.75 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.27 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Liga 1
FCM Ungheni vs Sheriff Tiraspol 2
4:0
Mar 14, 2025 Liga 1
Sheriff Tiraspol 2 vs FCM Ungheni
5:2
Mar 15, 2024 Liga 1
Sheriff Tiraspol 2 vs FCM Ungheni
6:1
Nov 24, 2023 Liga 1
FCM Ungheni vs Sheriff Tiraspol 2
3:1
Oct 8, 2023 Liga 1
Sheriff Tiraspol 2 vs FCM Ungheni
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FCM Ungheni 83 / 100
Sheriff Tiraspol 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FCM Ungheni Sheriff Tiraspol 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCM Ungheni Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FCM Ungheni scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

These sides typically produce 5.60 goals when they meet.

Sheriff Tiraspol 2 let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

FCM Ungheni went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FCM Ungheni VS Sheriff Tiraspol 2
2.88 Goals Scored 1
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.67
88% Over 1.5 67%
88% Over 2.5 67%
75% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

FCM Ungheni

(Home)
18 Sept
Univer Comrat
1 : 1
FCM Ungheni
12 Sept
FCM Ungheni
5 : 2
Sparta Selemet
05 Sept
Vulturii Cutezatori
3 : 4
FCM Ungheni
02 Sept
FCM Ungheni
9 : 0
Olimp Comrat
28 Aug
FCM Ungheni
2 : 3
Iskra Ribnita
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Sheriff Tiraspol 2

(Away)
24 Apr
Sheriff Tiraspol 2
2 : 2
Olimp Comrat
17 Apr
Falesti
2 : 1
Sheriff Tiraspol 2
10 Apr
Sheriff Tiraspol 2
0 : 1
Zimbru Chisinau 2
03 Apr
Univer Comrat
1 : 1
Sheriff Tiraspol 2
21 Mar
Sheriff Tiraspol 2
2 : 0
Victoria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FCM Ungheni 7 5 0 2 24:13 15
2 Falesti 7 4 1 2 12:8 13
3 Univer Comrat 7 3 2 2 11:12 11
4 Oguzsport 7 2 3 2 7:8 9
5 Zimbru Chisinau 2 7 3 0 4 11:10 9
6 Victoria 7 2 2 3 10:15 8
7 Olimp Comrat 7 2 2 3 12:15 8
8 Sheriff Tiraspol 2 7 1 2 4 6:12 5
Promotion - Super Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)