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FCM Ungheni vs Victoria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Moldova Moldova

Liga 1 2025/2026
FCM Ungheni Logo

FCM Ungheni

6 - 2
FT
Victoria Logo

Victoria

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FCM Ungheni in this Liga 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 6-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FCM Ungheni.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
FCM Ungheni
20%
Draws
33%
Victoria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FCM Ungheni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FCM Ungheni lately — more wins on the board than Victoria.
  • FCM Ungheni are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors FCM Ungheni here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
FCM Ungheni Clean Sheet 12%
Victoria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FCM Ungheni Victoria
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 17 8
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 2.73 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.94 2.71
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Super Liga
FCM Ungheni vs Victoria
4:2
Apr 10, 2026 Liga 1
FCM Ungheni vs Victoria
6:2
Nov 7, 2025 Liga 1
Victoria vs FCM Ungheni
1:2
Sep 26, 2025 Liga 1
FCM Ungheni vs Victoria
3:1
Aug 15, 2025 Liga 1
Victoria vs FCM Ungheni
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FCM Ungheni 83 / 100
Victoria 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FCM Ungheni Victoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCM Ungheni Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FCM Ungheni found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (33 games).

Victoria has conceded goals in 97% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 5.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: FCM Ungheni remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FCM Ungheni VS Victoria
3.25 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FCM Ungheni

(Home)
18 Sept
Univer Comrat
1 : 1
FCM Ungheni
12 Sept
FCM Ungheni
5 : 2
Sparta Selemet
05 Sept
Vulturii Cutezatori
3 : 4
FCM Ungheni
02 Sept
FCM Ungheni
9 : 0
Olimp Comrat
28 Aug
FCM Ungheni
2 : 3
Iskra Ribnita
Page 1 of 7

Victoria

(Away)
18 Sept
Stauceni
4 : 1
Victoria
12 Sept
Victoria
2 : 1
Falesti
04 Sept
Oguzsport
1 : 1
Victoria
01 Sept
Victoria
5 : 3
Falesti
28 Aug
Victoria
0 : 2
National Ialoveni
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FCM Ungheni 7 5 0 2 24:13 15
2 Falesti 7 4 1 2 12:8 13
3 Univer Comrat 7 3 2 2 11:12 11
4 Oguzsport 7 2 3 2 7:8 9
5 Zimbru Chisinau 2 7 3 0 4 11:10 9
6 Victoria 7 2 2 3 10:15 8
7 Olimp Comrat 7 2 2 3 12:15 8
8 Sheriff Tiraspol 2 7 1 2 4 6:12 5
Promotion - Super Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)