Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FCSB vs Bologna

Europe Europe

Europa League 2025/2026 Arena Nationala, Bucharest
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Odgaard J.
Assist: Dallinga T.
12' Event
Dallinga T.
16'
Heggem T.

AI Match Summary

The Europa League 2025/2026 game between FCSB and Bologna finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bologna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
FCSB
20%
Draws
38%
Bologna
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FCSB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • FCSB haven't matched Bologna's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on FCSB taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Europa League 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
FCSB Clean Sheet 16%
Bologna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FCSB Bologna
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 13 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2025 Europa League
FCSB vs Bologna
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FCSB Compare

Top Goalscorer Birligea D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Bologna Compare

Top Goalscorer Odgaard J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dallinga T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FCSB 41 / 100
Bologna 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FCSB Bologna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FCSB's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Bologna let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: FCSB remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FCSB VS Bologna
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FCSB

(Home)
26 Jul
Miercurea Ciuc
0 : 2
FCSB
23 Jul
FCSB
2 : 3
FK Auda Riga
17 Jul
FCSB
2 : 0
Campionii Arges
05 Jul
Royale Union SG
4 : 0
FCSB
29 May
Dinamo Bucuresti
1 : 2
FCSB
Page 1 of 6

Bologna

(Away)
25 Jul
Bologna
2 : 0
Iraklis FC
22 Jul
Bologna
1 : 1
Heidenheim
18 Jul
Bologna
0 : 4
Arminia Bielefeld
23 May
Bologna
3 : 3
Inter
17 May
Atalanta
0 : 1
Bologna
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lyon870118:521
2Aston Villa870114:621
3Midtjylland861118:819
4Betis852113:717
5FC Porto852113:717
6Braga852111:517
7Freiburg852110:417
8AS Roma851213:616
9Genk851211:716
10Bologna843114:715
11VfB Stuttgart850315:915
12Ferencvaros843112:1115
13Nottingham842215:714
14Plzen83508:314
15Crvena zvezda84227:614
16Celta Vigo841315:1113
17PAOK833217:1412
18Lille840412:912
19Fenerbahce833210:712
20Panathinaikos833211:912
21Celtic832313:1511
22Ludogorets831412:1510
23Din. Zagreb831412:1610
24Brann82339:119
25Young Boys830510:169
26Sturm Graz82155:117
27FCSB82159:167
28G.A. Eagles82156:147
29Feyenoord820611:156
30Basel82069:136
31Salzburg820610:156
32Rangers81165:144
33Nice81077:153
34Utrecht80175:151
35Malmo FF80174:151
36Maccabi Tel Aviv80172:221
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)